Rip or Flip
Shrouded Fable Mini Tin

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$16.93

MSRP

$9.99

Spread: +$6.94 (69%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDShrouded Fable2 packs

Shrouded Fable Mini Tin

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $10.33.

2 packs produce $6.60 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−61%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $16.93.

Expected Loss

−$10.33

The average opening result after paying $16.93 sealed.

Open Average

$6.60

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$4.22

Expected range $2.05-$4.55 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $3.30

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 3,000 pack openings.

02

$3.30 × 2 packs = $6.60

This product contains 2 booster packs.

03

$6.60 = $6.60

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$6.60 × 0.64 = $4.22

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $6.60 ÷ $16.93 = 39.0%Cash-out: $4.22 ÷ $16.93 = 24.9%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.30 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/2pk% of Total
Illustration Rare(IR)15$23.818.50%$2.02$4.0461.2%
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)5$28.811.50%$0.43$0.8613.0%
Ultra Rare(UR)10$4.996.50%$0.32$0.649.7%
Double Rare(RR)6$1.8016.70%$0.30$0.609.1%
Hyper Rare(HR)5$28.430.70%$0.20$0.406.1%
ACE SPEC Rare(ACE)3$0.585.00%$0.03$0.060.9%
Total$3.30$6.60100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Shrouded Fable, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 3,000 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/24/shrouded-fable-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-shrouded-fable-booster-bundle). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($16.93) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($16.93) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Shrouded Fable ETB$82.37$31.05−62%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable PC ETB$132.57$55.14−58%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle$48.07$19.80−59%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection$37.73$18.50−51%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Kingdra ex Special Illustration Collection$117.42$22.80−81%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Greninja ex Special Illustration Collection$124.07$22.80−82%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister$33.04$10.40−69%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Mini Tin$16.93$6.60−61%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster Pack$8.37$3.30−61%KEEP SEALED
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