Shrouded Fable Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $5.09.
1 packs produce $3.85 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−57%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $8.94.
Expected Loss
−$5.09
The average opening result after paying $8.94 sealed.
Open Average
$3.85
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.46
Expected range $2.40-$5.30 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.85
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 3,000 pack openings.
$3.85 × 1 packs = $3.85
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.85 = $3.85
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.85 × 0.64 = $2.46
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.85 ÷ $8.94 = 43.1% • Cash-out: $2.46 ÷ $8.94 = 27.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.85 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 15 | $28.99 | 8.50% | $2.46 | $2.46 | 63.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 5 | $28.80 | 1.50% | $0.43 | $0.43 | 11.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 10 | $6.00 | 6.50% | $0.39 | $0.39 | 10.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $1.92 | 16.70% | $0.32 | $0.32 | 8.3% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $30.76 | 0.70% | $0.22 | $0.22 | 5.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.65 | 5.00% | $0.03 | $0.03 | 0.8% |
| Total | $3.85 | $3.85 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Shrouded Fable, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Persian - 078/064
#078/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$54.68
+$0.31 EV
Duskull - 068/064
#068/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$53.39
+$0.30 EV
Dusclops - 069/064
#069/064 · IR
1 in 176 packs
$48.04
+$0.27 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 092/064
#092/064 · SIR
1 in 333 packs
$46.88
+$0.14 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 038/064
#038/064 · RR
1 in 36 packs
$4.52
+$0.13 EV
Pecharunt ex - 039/064
#039/064 · RR
1 in 36 packs
$4.29
+$0.12 EV
Cassiopeia - 094/064
#094/064 · SIR
1 in 333 packs
$38.97
+$0.12 EV
Fezandipiti ex - 084/064
#084/064 · UR
1 in 154 packs
$14.22
+$0.09 EV
Basic Darkness Energy
#098/064 · HR
1 in 714 packs
$63.68
+$0.09 EV
Xerosic's Machinations - 089/064
#089/064 · UR
1 in 154 packs
$12.07
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 3,000 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/24/shrouded-fable-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-shrouded-fable-booster-bundle). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($8.94) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($8.94) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable ETB | $86.45 | $36.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | $147.71 | $61.50 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | $48.48 | $23.10 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | $37.56 | $21.25 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingdra ex Special Illustration Collection | $127.81 | $26.10 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Greninja ex Special Illustration Collection | $145.95 | $26.10 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister | $32.25 | $12.05 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | $19.97 | $7.70 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | $8.94 | $3.85 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.38 | $7.43 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $10.16 | $4.76 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $9.51 | $4.37 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.33 | $2.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.73 | $2.78 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $21.42 | $8.84 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | Phantasmal Flames | $9.19 | $3.75 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | Phantasmal Flames | $9.88 | $4.00 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |