Rip or Flip
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$8.62

MSRP

$5.49

Spread: +$3.13 (57%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDPhantasmal Flames1 pack+ $0.25 promos

Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $4.84.

1 packs plus $0.25 in promo value produce $3.78 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−56%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $8.62.

Expected Loss

−$4.84

The average opening result after paying $8.62 sealed.

Open Average

$3.78

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$2.42

Expected range $0.00-$7.23 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · High confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $3.53

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 5,000 pack openings.

02

$3.53 × 1 packs = $3.53

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$3.53 + $0.25 promos = $3.78

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$3.78 × 0.64 = $2.42

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $3.78 ÷ $8.62 = 43.9%Cash-out: $2.42 ÷ $8.62 = 28.1%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.53 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)5$168.951.25%$2.11$2.1159.8%
Illustration Rare(IR)13$4.7411.10%$0.53$0.5315.0%
Ultra Rare(UR)17$4.308.30%$0.36$0.3610.2%
Mega Hyper Rare(MHR)1$373.900.08%$0.30$0.308.5%
Double Rare(RR)10$1.1320.00%$0.23$0.236.5%
Total$3.53$3.53100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 5,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Phantasmal-Flames-Pull-Rates/9abae60d-b7fb-448f-874e-176f78d6a6ca/, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-phantasmal-flames-mega-charizard-ex-sir-pull-rate/, https://tcgprotectors.com/blogs/pokemon-blog/phantasmal-flames-pull-rates-10000-packs-analyzed-hits-or-misses). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $5.49. Current sealed price ($8.62) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($8.62) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($0.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box$340.57$127.08−63%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames ETB$96.26$33.85−65%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames PC ETB$236.73$77.68−67%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle$55.44$21.18−62%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister$26.74$11.09−59%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister$8.62$3.78−56%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box$48.42$28.89−40%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster$8.94$3.53−61%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Art Bundle$34.66$14.12−59%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack$8.15$3.53−57%KEEP SEALED
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