Lost Origin
Don't rip Lost Origin right now.
−59%
$13.41 sealed → $5.48 EV | EV/pack: $5.48
Even the best product loses −$7.93 on average.
If you must open something: Lost Origin Booster Pack loses the least at −$7.93.
Best product to check
Lost Origin Booster Pack
MSRP $4.49 • Market price $13.41 • Return −59%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 8 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196
UR$679.71
EV: $3.64
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196
UR$161.75
EV: $0.87
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196
UR$24.91
EV: $0.13
View 7 more chase cards
Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/196
UR$15.15
EV: $0.08
Giratina V (Full Art)
#185/196
UR$12.48
EV: $0.07
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196
SR$24.53
EV: $0.04
Gengar
#066/196
H$2.33
EV: $0.03
Snorlax
#143/196
H$1.91
EV: $0.02
Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)
#212/196
SR$14.54
EV: $0.02
Lady (Full Art)
#193/196
UR$3.97
EV: $0.02
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $21.78 | $0.63–$679.71 | 23.54% | $5.13 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.27 | $1.91–$24.53 | 3.20% | $0.20 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.45 | $0.18–$2.33 | 26.46% | $0.12 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.80 | $0.48–$1.09 | 4.04% | $0.03 |
| Total EV / Pack | $5.48 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Lost Origin worth opening?
- At current market prices, Lost Origin Booster Pack loses $7.93 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Lost Origin booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Lost Origin booster pack is $5.48 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Lost Origin products?
- Lost Origin Booster Pack launched at $4.49 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $13.41 to see how far Lost Origin pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Lost Origin?
- The most valuable cards in Lost Origin are Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) ($679.71), Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) ($161.75), Rotom V (Alternate Full Art) ($24.91).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Lost Origin?
- Pull rates are based on 718 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Lost Origin product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Lost Origin Booster Pack offers the best return at −59% (−$7.93). It contains 1 pack and is priced at $13.41.
- How often are Lost Origin prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Lost Origin?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Lost Origin Booster Pack, cash-out EV is $3.51 versus $5.48 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Lost Origin?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 718 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Lost Origin products lose an average of $139.29 (−74%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 718+ pack openings.