Lost Origin
Don't rip Lost Origin right now.
−61%
$14.76 sealed → $5.75 EV | EV/pack: $5.75
Even the best product loses −$9.01 on average.
If you must open something: Lost Origin Booster Pack loses the least at −$9.01.
Best product to check
Lost Origin Booster Pack
MSRP $4.49 • Market price $14.76 • Return −61%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 8 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196
UR$669.03
EV: $3.58
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196
UR$198.64
EV: $1.06
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196
UR$28.71
EV: $0.15
View 7 more chase cards
Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/196
UR$18.87
EV: $0.10
Giratina V (Full Art)
#185/196
UR$14.00
EV: $0.07
Gengar
#066/196
H$3.68
EV: $0.04
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196
SR$25.43
EV: $0.04
Snorlax
#143/196
H$2.68
EV: $0.03
Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)
#212/196
SR$17.14
EV: $0.03
Lady (Full Art)
#193/196
UR$4.28
EV: $0.02
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $22.68 | $0.62–$669.03 | 23.54% | $5.34 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.72 | $2.14–$25.43 | 3.20% | $0.22 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.58 | $0.15–$3.68 | 26.46% | $0.15 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $1.09 | $0.60–$1.48 | 4.04% | $0.04 |
| Total EV / Pack | $5.75 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Lost Origin worth opening?
- At current market prices, Lost Origin Booster Pack loses $9.01 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Lost Origin booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Lost Origin booster pack is $5.75 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Lost Origin products?
- Lost Origin Booster Pack launched at $4.49 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $14.76 to see how far Lost Origin pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Lost Origin?
- The most valuable cards in Lost Origin are Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) ($669.03), Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) ($198.64), Rotom V (Alternate Full Art) ($28.71).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Lost Origin?
- Pull rates are based on 718 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Lost Origin product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Lost Origin Booster Pack offers the best return at −61% (−$9.01). It contains 1 pack and is priced at $14.76.
- How often are Lost Origin prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Lost Origin?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Lost Origin Booster Pack, cash-out EV is $3.68 versus $5.75 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Lost Origin?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 718 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of April 2026, Lost Origin products lose an average of $149.37 (−75%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 718+ pack openings.