Lost Origin Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Lost Origin, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
4
Rarest listed odds
1 in 31
Secret Rare
EV per pack
$5.47
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
H
Holo Rare
You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 4.
26.46% odds from 718 sampled packs
UR
Ultra Rare
You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 4.
23.54% odds from 718 sampled packs
RR
Radiant Rare
You'll pull a Radiant Rare roughly 1 in 25.
4.04% odds from 718 sampled packs
SR
Secret Rare
You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 31.
3.20% odds from 718 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
UR
Ultra Rare
1 in 4
- Avg card value
- $21.77
- EV per pack
- $5.12
Top chase: Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) at $679.71.
SR
Secret Rare
1 in 31
- Avg card value
- $6.25
- EV per pack
- $0.20
Top chase: Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret) at $24.62.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
H
Holo Rare
Avg value $0.44 • 1 in 4
UR
Ultra Rare
Avg value $21.77 • 1 in 4
RR
Radiant Rare
Avg value $0.82 • 1 in 25
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for Lost Origin?
- Lost Origin pull rates are based on 718 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Lost Origin?
- Secret Rare lands about 1 in 31 in Lost Origin, based on 718 sampled packs.
- Are Lost Origin pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.