Black Bolt
Don't rip Black Bolt right now.
−51%
$46.15 sealed → $22.40 EV | EV/pack: $4.08
Even the best product loses −$23.75 on average.
If you must open something: Unova Victini Illustration Collection loses the least at −$23.75.
Best product to check
Unova Victini Illustration Collection
MSRP $21.99 • Market price $46.15 • Return −51%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 10 Products
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
Join 1,300+ collectors using Collectify Discord for Pokemon TCG restock alerts, auto checkout tools, and local stock updates.
- ●Real-time online restock monitoring
- ●Auto checkout tools
- ●Local stock updates (Target, Walmart, etc.)
- ●Private Collectify Discord community (1,300+ members)
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Victini - 171/086
#171/086
BWR$391.49
EV: $0.39
Zekrom ex - 166/086
#166/086
SIR$201.12
EV: $0.36
Zekrom ex - 172/086
#172/086
BWR$355.56
EV: $0.36
View 7 more chase cards
Seismitoad - 105/086
#105/086
IR$135.24
EV: $0.32
Haxorus - 147/086
#147/086
IR$50.29
EV: $0.12
Kyurem ex - 165/086
#165/086
SIR$65.26
EV: $0.12
N's Plan - 170/086
#170/086
SIR$58.07
EV: $0.10
Krookodile - 137/086
#137/086
IR$35.02
EV: $0.08
Genesect ex - 169/086
#169/086
SIR$42.85
EV: $0.08
Volcarona - 100/086
#100/086
IR$30.41
EV: $0.07
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 69 | $13.99 | $3.12–$135.24 | 16.40% | $2.29 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $66.02 | $19.69–$201.12 | 1.25% | $0.83 |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $373.53 | $355.56–$391.49 | 0.20% | $0.75 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.52 | $0.44–$0.66 | 21.10% | $0.11 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $1.76 | $0.66–$3.70 | 5.80% | $0.10 |
| Total EV / Pack | $4.08 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 21.10% | 1 in 5 | 700 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16.40% | 1 in 6 | 700 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 5.80% | 1 in 17 | 700 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.25% | 1 in 80 | 700 |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 0.20% | 1 in 500 | 700 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Black Bolt worth opening?
- At current market prices, Unova Victini Illustration Collection loses $23.75 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Black Bolt booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Black Bolt booster pack is $4.08 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Black Bolt products?
- Unova Victini Illustration Collection launched at $21.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $46.15 to see how far Black Bolt pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Black Bolt?
- The most valuable cards in Black Bolt are Victini - 171/086 ($391.49), Zekrom ex - 166/086 ($201.12), Zekrom ex - 172/086 ($355.56).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Black Bolt?
- Pull rates are based on 700 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Black Bolt product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Unova Victini Illustration Collection offers the best return at −51% (−$23.75). It contains 5 packs and is priced at $46.15.
- How often are Black Bolt prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Black Bolt?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Unova Victini Illustration Collection, cash-out EV is $14.34 versus $22.40 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Black Bolt?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 700 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Black Bolt products lose an average of $46.29 (−62%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 700+ pack openings.