Unova Victini Illustration Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $23.86.
5 packs plus $2.00 in promo value produce $22.45 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−52%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $46.31.
Expected Loss
−$23.86
The average opening result after paying $46.31 sealed.
Open Average
$22.45
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.37
Expected range $1.24-$6.94 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.09
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$4.09 × 5 packs = $20.45
This product contains 5 booster packs.
$20.45 + $2.00 promos = $22.45
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$22.45 × 0.64 = $14.37
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $22.45 ÷ $46.31 = 48.5% • Cash-out: $14.37 ÷ $46.31 = 31.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.09 EV per pack for this 5-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/5pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 69 | $14.01 | 16.40% | $2.30 | $11.50 | 56.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $66.52 | 1.25% | $0.83 | $4.15 | 20.3% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $373.56 | 0.20% | $0.75 | $3.75 | 18.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.50 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.55 | 2.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $1.74 | 5.80% | $0.10 | $0.50 | 2.4% |
| Total | $4.09 | $20.45 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Black Bolt, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 171/086
#171/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$391.49
+$1.95 EV
Zekrom ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$202.49
+$1.80 EV
Zekrom ex - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$355.62
+$1.80 EV
Seismitoad - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$135.07
+$1.60 EV
Haxorus - 147/086
#147/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$49.40
+$0.60 EV
Kyurem ex - 165/086
#165/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$65.27
+$0.60 EV
N's Plan - 170/086
#170/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$58.07
+$0.50 EV
Krookodile - 137/086
#137/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$35.03
+$0.40 EV
Zekrom ex - 158/086
#158/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$3.74
+$0.15 EV
N's Plan - 163/086
#163/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$3.67
+$0.15 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($46.31) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($46.31) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bolt ETB | $97.65 | $38.27 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt PC ETB | $223.26 | $65.77 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | $61.08 | $24.54 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Binder Collection | $56.98 | $17.36 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | $30.42 | $13.02 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Poster Collection | $34.33 | $13.27 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | $46.31 | $22.45 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | $17.87 | $8.18 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | $115.28 | $34.83 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | $9.71 | $4.09 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |