Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $10.01.
2 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $13.68 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−42%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $23.69.
Expected Loss
−$10.01
The average opening result after paying $23.69 sealed.
Open Average
$13.68
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$8.76
Expected range $2.56-$10.12 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $6.34
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$6.34 × 2 packs = $12.68
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$12.68 + $1.00 promos = $13.68
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$13.68 × 0.64 = $8.76
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $13.68 ÷ $23.69 = 57.8% • Cash-out: $8.76 ÷ $23.69 = 37.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $6.34 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $190.27 | 1.44% | $2.74 | $5.48 | 43.2% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.05 | 11.25% | $1.36 | $2.72 | 21.5% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $24.20 | 3.47% | $0.84 | $1.68 | 13.2% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $411.62 | 0.19% | $0.78 | $1.56 | 12.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.84 | 20.37% | $0.37 | $0.74 | 5.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $5.12 | 4.81% | $0.25 | $0.50 | 3.9% |
| Total | $6.34 | $12.68 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1020.45
+$1.34 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$495.95
+$0.94 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$616.87
+$0.80 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$508.74
+$0.66 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$65.41
+$0.64 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$327.29
+$0.62 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$50.41
+$0.50 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$71.53
+$0.48 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$27.23
+$0.18 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$25.39
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($23.69) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($23.69) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $108.54 | $63.80 | −41% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $319.36 | $127.15 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $76.60 | $38.04 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $169.05 | $19.77 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $24.91 | $12.68 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $147.35 | $73.09 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $69.70 | $26.01 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $23.69 | $13.68 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $22.43 | $13.68 | −39% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $68.79 | $21.02 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $11.23 | $6.34 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |