Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $46.00.
4 packs plus $0.65 in promo value produce $30.37 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−60%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $76.37.
Expected Loss
−$46.00
The average opening result after paying $76.37 sealed.
Open Average
$30.37
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$19.44
Expected range $2.05-$12.81 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.43
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$7.43 × 4 packs = $29.72
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$29.72 + $0.65 promos = $30.37
Promo value uses static estimate.
$30.37 × 0.64 = $19.44
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $30.37 ÷ $76.37 = 39.8% • Cash-out: $19.44 ÷ $76.37 = 25.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.43 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $253.21 | 1.44% | $3.65 | $14.60 | 49.1% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.10 | 11.25% | $1.36 | $5.44 | 18.3% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $30.43 | 3.47% | $1.06 | $4.24 | 14.3% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $435.83 | 0.19% | $0.83 | $3.32 | 11.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.74 | 20.37% | $0.35 | $1.40 | 4.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $3.70 | 4.81% | $0.18 | $0.72 | 2.4% |
| Total | $7.43 | $29.72 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1279.54
+$3.36 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1117.89
+$2.92 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$570.30
+$2.16 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$99.29
+$1.96 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$755.23
+$1.96 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$60.69
+$1.20 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$85.77
+$1.16 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$301.35
+$1.16 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$30.89
+$0.44 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$25.91
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $24.99. Current sealed price ($76.37) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($76.37) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($0.65) is based on static estimate.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $155.98 | $76.40 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $480.58 | $189.48 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $1235.26 | $44.58 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $169.48 | $23.04 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $23.12 | $14.86 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $330.11 | $83.99 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $76.37 | $30.37 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $23.58 | $15.86 | −33% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $24.57 | $15.86 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $52.63 | $24.29 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $12.38 | $7.43 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.68 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.56 | $21.25 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.77 | $20.49 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $57.18 | $27.65 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $32.14 | $15.03 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $33.66 | $15.65 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $48.08 | $21.86 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $56.95 | $25.80 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |