Rip or Flip
White Flare Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$9.40

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$4.91 (109%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDWhite Flare1 pack

White Flare Booster Pack

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $5.51.

1 packs produce $3.89 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−59%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.40.

Expected Loss

−$5.51

The average opening result after paying $9.40 sealed.

Open Average

$3.89

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$2.49

Expected range $2.25-$5.53 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $3.89

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.

02

$3.89 × 1 packs = $3.89

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$3.89 = $3.89

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$3.89 × 0.64 = $2.49

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $3.89 ÷ $9.40 = 41.4%Cash-out: $2.49 ÷ $9.40 = 26.5%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.89 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Illustration Rare(IR)70$13.3916.40%$2.20$2.2056.6%
Black White Rare(BWR)2$371.510.20%$0.74$0.7419.0%
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)7$55.911.25%$0.70$0.7018.0%
Ultra Rare(UR)8$2.525.80%$0.15$0.153.9%
Double Rare(RR)6$0.4921.10%$0.10$0.102.6%
Total$3.89$3.89100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.40) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($9.40) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
White Flare ETB$91.96$36.17−61%KEEP SEALED
White Flare PC ETB$190.19$61.65−68%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster Bundle$55.84$23.34−58%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Binder Collection$55.97$16.56−70%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Tech Sticker Collection$30.07$12.42−59%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster Pack$9.40$3.89−59%KEEP SEALED
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