White Flare Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $5.14.
1 packs produce $4.37 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−54%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.51.
Expected Loss
−$5.14
The average opening result after paying $9.51 sealed.
Open Average
$4.37
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.80
Expected range $2.37-$6.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.37
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$4.37 × 1 packs = $4.37
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$4.37 = $4.37
No promo value applied for this product.
$4.37 × 0.64 = $2.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $4.37 ÷ $9.51 = 46.0% • Cash-out: $2.80 ÷ $9.51 = 29.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.37 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $15.36 | 16.40% | $2.52 | $2.52 | 57.7% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $395.40 | 0.20% | $0.79 | $0.79 | 18.1% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $62.26 | 1.25% | $0.78 | $0.78 | 17.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $2.91 | 5.80% | $0.17 | $0.17 | 3.9% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.51 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.11 | 2.5% |
| Total | $4.37 | $4.37 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$406.96
+$0.41 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$383.83
+$0.38 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$192.41
+$0.34 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$54.26
+$0.13 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$72.92
+$0.13 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$53.05
+$0.12 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$49.82
+$0.12 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$13.38
+$0.10 EV
Hilda - 171/086
#171/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$54.48
+$0.10 EV
Jellicent ex
#045/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.64
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.51) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($9.51) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $112.51 | $40.71 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $220.92 | $69.47 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $56.22 | $26.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $48.88 | $18.48 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $31.51 | $13.86 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $9.51 | $4.37 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.38 | $7.43 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $10.16 | $4.76 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.33 | $2.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $8.94 | $3.85 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.73 | $2.78 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $21.42 | $8.84 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | Phantasmal Flames | $9.19 | $3.75 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | Phantasmal Flames | $9.88 | $4.00 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |