White Flare ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $71.80.
9 packs plus $1.38 in promo value produce $40.71 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−64%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $112.51.
Expected Loss
−$71.80
The average opening result after paying $112.51 sealed.
Open Average
$40.71
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$26.05
Expected range $2.37-$6.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.37
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$4.37 × 9 packs = $39.33
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$39.33 + $1.38 promos = $40.71
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$40.71 × 0.64 = $26.05
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $40.71 ÷ $112.51 = 36.2% • Cash-out: $26.05 ÷ $112.51 = 23.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.37 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 70 | $15.36 | 16.40% | $2.52 | $22.68 | 57.7% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $395.40 | 0.20% | $0.79 | $7.11 | 18.1% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $62.26 | 1.25% | $0.78 | $7.02 | 17.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $2.91 | 5.80% | $0.17 | $1.53 | 3.9% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.51 | 21.10% | $0.11 | $0.99 | 2.5% |
| Total | $4.37 | $39.33 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in White Flare, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$406.96
+$3.69 EV
Reshiram ex - 173/086
#173/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$383.83
+$3.42 EV
Reshiram ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$192.41
+$3.06 EV
Oshawott - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$54.26
+$1.17 EV
Hydreigon ex - 169/086
#169/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$72.92
+$1.17 EV
Zoroark - 143/086
#143/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$53.05
+$1.08 EV
Chandelure - 103/086
#103/086 · IR
1 in 427 packs
$49.82
+$1.08 EV
Hilda - 164/086
#164/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$13.38
+$0.90 EV
Hilda - 171/086
#171/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$54.48
+$0.90 EV
Jellicent ex
#045/086 · RR
1 in 28 packs
$0.64
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($112.51) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($112.51) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.38) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Flare ETB | $112.51 | $40.71 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare PC ETB | $220.92 | $69.47 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | $56.22 | $26.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Binder Collection | $48.88 | $18.48 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Tech Sticker Collection | $31.51 | $13.86 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | $9.51 | $4.37 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $646.61 | $328.97 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $295.19 | $147.27 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $155.98 | $76.40 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $227.58 | $110.65 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $161.60 | $67.87 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $86.45 | $36.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $147.71 | $61.50 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $480.58 | $189.48 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |