151 Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $25.23.
2 packs produce $20.18 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−56%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $45.41.
Expected Loss
−$25.23
The average opening result after paying $45.41 sealed.
Open Average
$20.18
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$12.92
Expected range $5.22-$14.96 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.09
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.09 × 2 packs = $20.18
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$20.18 = $20.18
No promo value applied for this product.
$20.18 × 0.64 = $12.92
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $20.18 ÷ $45.41 = 44.4% • Cash-out: $12.92 ÷ $45.41 = 28.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.09 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $135.48 | 3.10% | $4.20 | $8.40 | 41.6% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $52.83 | 7.70% | $4.07 | $8.14 | 40.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.83 | 6.25% | $0.99 | $1.98 | 9.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $4.54 | 12.50% | $0.57 | $1.14 | 5.6% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $12.95 | 2.00% | $0.26 | $0.52 | 2.6% |
| Total | $10.09 | $20.18 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$436.87
+$3.86 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$148.57
+$1.32 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$138.90
+$1.24 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$105.67
+$1.02 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$105.33
+$1.02 EV
Charmeleon - 169/165
#169/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$80.53
+$0.78 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$27.36
+$0.52 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$48.71
+$0.38 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$29.13
+$0.38 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$44.55
+$0.34 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($45.41) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($45.41) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $636.03 | $115.08 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1387.35 | $420.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $192.27 | $60.54 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $81.64 | $31.27 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $211.74 | $41.36 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $998.59 | $171.44 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $110.46 | $42.36 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $115.38 | $42.36 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $45.41 | $20.18 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $216.80 | $82.72 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $27.90 | $10.09 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $23.12 | $14.86 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $19.57 | $9.52 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.97 | $7.70 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $37.02 | $12.78 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $37.69 | $12.78 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $99.18 | $29.20 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $38.79 | $11.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | Pokemon GO | $57.29 | $15.48 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |