151 Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $11.64.
2 packs produce $21.92 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−35%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $33.56.
Expected Loss
−$11.64
The average opening result after paying $33.56 sealed.
Open Average
$21.92
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.03
Expected range $5.46-$16.46 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.96
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.96 × 2 packs = $21.92
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$21.92 = $21.92
No promo value applied for this product.
$21.92 × 0.64 = $14.03
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $21.92 ÷ $33.56 = 65.3% • Cash-out: $14.03 ÷ $33.56 = 41.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.96 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $154.62 | 3.10% | $4.79 | $9.58 | 43.7% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $58.41 | 7.70% | $4.50 | $9.00 | 41.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $14.42 | 6.25% | $0.90 | $1.80 | 8.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $4.29 | 12.50% | $0.54 | $1.08 | 4.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $11.71 | 2.00% | $0.23 | $0.46 | 2.1% |
| Total | $10.96 | $21.92 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$464.81
+$4.12 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$186.47
+$1.66 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$149.18
+$1.44 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$155.77
+$1.38 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$117.84
+$1.14 EV
Bulbasaur - 166/165
#166/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$99.72
+$0.96 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$25.56
+$0.50 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$52.23
+$0.40 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$27.01
+$0.36 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$43.29
+$0.34 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($33.56) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($33.56) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $594.64 | $124.54 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1175.82 | $385.60 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $178.19 | $65.76 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $62.04 | $33.88 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $172.50 | $44.84 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $979.23 | $185.36 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $93.52 | $45.84 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $91.35 | $45.84 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $33.56 | $21.92 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $164.29 | $89.68 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $24.70 | $10.96 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |