Pokemon GO Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $41.81.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $15.48 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−73%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $57.29.
Expected Loss
−$41.81
The average opening result after paying $57.29 sealed.
Open Average
$15.48
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$9.91
Expected range $0.30-$6.94 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 371 pack openings.
$3.62 × 4 packs = $14.48
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$14.48 + $1.00 promos = $15.48
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$15.48 × 0.64 = $9.91
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $15.48 ÷ $57.29 = 27.0% • Cash-out: $9.91 ÷ $57.29 = 17.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.62 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $6.65 | 23.45% | $1.56 | $6.24 | 43.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 16 | $1.02 | 70.35% | $0.72 | $2.88 | 19.9% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $12.69 | 5.39% | $0.68 | $2.72 | 18.8% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 10 | $17.43 | 3.77% | $0.66 | $2.64 | 18.2% |
| Total | $3.62 | $14.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon GO, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mewtwo V (Alternate Full Art)
#072/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$58.60
+$3.24 EV
Radiant Charizard
#011/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$20.41
+$1.48 EV
Dragonite V (Full Art)
#076/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$15.28
+$0.84 EV
Ditto
#053/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$4.27
+$0.76 EV
Radiant Blastoise
#018/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$9.89
+$0.72 EV
Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
#081/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$48.03
+$0.72 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (79) (Secret)
#079/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$47.84
+$0.72 EV
Radiant Venusaur
#004/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$7.77
+$0.56 EV
Charizard
#010/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$3.07
+$0.52 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (86) (Secret)
#086/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$31.06
+$0.48 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 371 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-go-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.99. Current sealed price ($57.29) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($57.29) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon GO ETB | $136.25 | $41.97 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO PC ETB Plus | $214.22 | $49.21 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | $37.00 | $15.48 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Premium Collection | $104.78 | $23.72 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | $57.29 | $15.48 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Mini Tin | $26.82 | $7.24 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Booster Pack | $10.70 | $3.62 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $23.12 | $14.86 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $19.57 | $9.52 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | Pokemon 151 | $45.41 | $20.18 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.97 | $7.70 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $37.02 | $12.78 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $37.69 | $12.78 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $99.18 | $29.20 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $38.79 | $11.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |