Pokemon GO Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $20.26.
2 packs produce $6.10 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−77%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $26.36.
Expected Loss
−$20.26
The average opening result after paying $26.36 sealed.
Open Average
$6.10
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$3.90
Expected range $0.27-$5.83 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.05
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 371 pack openings.
$3.05 × 2 packs = $6.10
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$6.10 = $6.10
No promo value applied for this product.
$6.10 × 0.64 = $3.90
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $6.10 ÷ $26.36 = 23.1% • Cash-out: $3.90 ÷ $26.36 = 14.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.05 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $5.61 | 23.45% | $1.32 | $2.64 | 43.3% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $10.98 | 5.39% | $0.59 | $1.18 | 19.3% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 16 | $0.81 | 70.35% | $0.57 | $1.14 | 18.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 10 | $15.24 | 3.77% | $0.57 | $1.14 | 18.7% |
| Total | $3.05 | $6.10 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon GO, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mewtwo V (Alternate Full Art)
#072/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$49.20
+$1.36 EV
Radiant Charizard
#011/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$17.93
+$0.64 EV
Dragonite V (Full Art)
#076/078 · UR
1 in 72 packs
$13.06
+$0.36 EV
Radiant Blastoise
#018/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$8.11
+$0.30 EV
Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
#081/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$41.07
+$0.30 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (79) (Secret)
#079/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$41.01
+$0.30 EV
Ditto
#053/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$3.15
+$0.28 EV
Charizard
#010/078 · H
1 in 23 packs
$2.76
+$0.24 EV
Radiant Venusaur
#004/078 · RR
1 in 56 packs
$6.90
+$0.24 EV
Mewtwo VSTAR (86) (Secret)
#086/078 · SR
1 in 265 packs
$27.02
+$0.20 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 371 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-go-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($26.36) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($26.36) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon GO ETB | $121.83 | $37.07 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO PC ETB Plus | $181.50 | $43.17 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | $35.98 | $13.20 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Premium Collection | $95.05 | $20.30 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Tin | $55.10 | $13.20 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Mini Tin | $26.36 | $6.10 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Booster Pack | $9.76 | $3.05 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |