151 Poster Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $28.16.
3 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $33.88 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−45%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $62.04.
Expected Loss
−$28.16
The average opening result after paying $62.04 sealed.
Open Average
$33.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$21.68
Expected range $5.46-$16.46 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.96
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.96 × 3 packs = $32.88
This product contains 3 booster packs.
$32.88 + $1.00 promos = $33.88
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$33.88 × 0.64 = $21.68
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $33.88 ÷ $62.04 = 54.6% • Cash-out: $21.68 ÷ $62.04 = 35.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.96 EV per pack for this 3-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/3pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $154.62 | 3.10% | $4.79 | $14.37 | 43.7% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $58.41 | 7.70% | $4.50 | $13.50 | 41.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $14.42 | 6.25% | $0.90 | $2.70 | 8.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $4.29 | 12.50% | $0.54 | $1.62 | 4.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $11.71 | 2.00% | $0.23 | $0.69 | 2.1% |
| Total | $10.96 | $32.88 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$464.81
+$6.18 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$186.47
+$2.49 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$149.18
+$2.16 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$155.77
+$2.07 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$117.84
+$1.71 EV
Bulbasaur - 166/165
#166/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$99.72
+$1.44 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$25.56
+$0.75 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$52.23
+$0.60 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$27.01
+$0.54 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$43.29
+$0.51 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $14.99. Current sealed price ($62.04) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($62.04) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $594.64 | $124.54 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1175.82 | $385.60 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $178.19 | $65.76 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $62.04 | $33.88 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $172.50 | $44.84 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $979.23 | $185.36 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $93.52 | $45.84 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $91.35 | $45.84 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $33.56 | $21.92 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $164.29 | $89.68 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $24.70 | $10.96 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |