Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $17.57.
2 packs produce $5.94 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−75%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $23.51.
Expected Loss
−$17.57
The average opening result after paying $23.51 sealed.
Open Average
$5.94
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$3.80
Expected range $0.00-$7.30 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.97
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$2.97 × 2 packs = $5.94
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$5.94 = $5.94
No promo value applied for this product.
$5.94 × 0.64 = $3.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $5.94 ÷ $23.51 = 25.3% • Cash-out: $3.80 ÷ $23.51 = 16.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.97 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $113.69 | 2.20% | $2.50 | $5.00 | 84.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.67 | 16.70% | $0.28 | $0.56 | 9.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $15.09 | 0.80% | $0.12 | $0.24 | 4.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.69 | 7.70% | $0.05 | $0.10 | 1.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.50 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.04 | 0.7% |
| Total | $2.97 | $5.94 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1121.45
+$1.54 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$298.73
+$0.42 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$244.78
+$0.34 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$49.13
+$0.16 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.89
+$0.06 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.70
+$0.06 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$3.75
+$0.04 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.03
+$0.02 EV
Friends in Paldea - 137/131
#137/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.85
+$0.02 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.80
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($23.51) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($23.51) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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