Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $23.25.
2 packs produce $7.22 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−76%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $30.47.
Expected Loss
−$23.25
The average opening result after paying $30.47 sealed.
Open Average
$7.22
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$4.62
Expected range $0.00-$9.33 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.61
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$3.61 × 2 packs = $7.22
This product contains 2 booster packs.
$7.22 = $7.22
No promo value applied for this product.
$7.22 × 0.64 = $4.62
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $7.22 ÷ $30.47 = 23.7% • Cash-out: $4.62 ÷ $30.47 = 15.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.61 EV per pack for this 2-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/2pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $140.09 | 2.20% | $3.08 | $6.16 | 85.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.93 | 16.70% | $0.32 | $0.64 | 8.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $17.68 | 0.80% | $0.14 | $0.28 | 3.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.70 | 7.70% | $0.05 | $0.10 | 1.4% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.52 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.04 | 0.6% |
| Total | $3.61 | $7.22 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1476.14
+$2.02 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$397.16
+$0.54 EV
Espeon ex - 155/131
#155/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$289.88
+$0.40 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$58.84
+$0.18 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.46
+$0.08 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$5.31
+$0.06 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.43
+$0.06 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.12
+$0.02 EV
Friends in Paldea - 137/131
#137/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.11
+$0.02 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.85
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $9.99. Current sealed price ($30.47) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($30.47) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $23.12 | $14.86 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $19.57 | $9.52 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | Pokemon 151 | $45.41 | $20.18 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.97 | $7.70 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $37.02 | $12.78 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $37.69 | $12.78 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $99.18 | $29.20 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $38.79 | $11.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |