Prismatic Evolutions Binder Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $68.43.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $12.88 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−84%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $81.31.
Expected Loss
−$68.43
The average opening result after paying $81.31 sealed.
Open Average
$12.88
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$8.24
Expected range $0.00-$7.30 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.97
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,200 pack openings.
$2.97 × 4 packs = $11.88
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$11.88 + $1.00 promos = $12.88
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$12.88 × 0.64 = $8.24
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $12.88 ÷ $81.31 = 15.8% • Cash-out: $8.24 ÷ $81.31 = 10.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.97 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $113.69 | 2.20% | $2.50 | $10.00 | 84.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.67 | 16.70% | $0.28 | $1.12 | 9.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $15.09 | 0.80% | $0.12 | $0.48 | 4.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.69 | 7.70% | $0.05 | $0.20 | 1.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.50 | 4.70% | $0.02 | $0.08 | 0.7% |
| Total | $2.97 | $11.88 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$1121.45
+$3.08 EV
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$298.73
+$0.84 EV
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131 · SIR
1 in 1455 packs
$244.78
+$0.68 EV
Pikachu ex - 179/131
#179/131 · HR
1 in 625 packs
$49.13
+$0.32 EV
Umbreon ex - 060/131
#060/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.89
+$0.12 EV
Eevee ex - 075/131
#075/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$4.70
+$0.12 EV
Flareon ex - 014/131
#014/131 · RR
1 in 156 packs
$3.75
+$0.08 EV
Eri
#136/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$1.03
+$0.04 EV
Friends in Paldea - 137/131
#137/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.85
+$0.04 EV
Larry's Skill - 139/131
#139/131 · UR
1 in 156 packs
$0.80
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,200 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $29.99. Current sealed price ($81.31) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($81.31) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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