Rip or Flip
Celebrations PC ETB

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$464.06

MSRP

$49.99

Spread: +$414.07 (828%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDCelebrations12 packs+ $26.01 promos

Celebrations PC ETB

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $427.37.

12 packs plus $26.01 in promo value produce $36.69 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−92%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $464.06.

Expected Loss

−$427.37

The average opening result after paying $464.06 sealed.

Open Average

$36.69

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$23.48

Expected range $0.33-$1.45 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $0.89

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 541 pack openings.

02

$0.89 × 12 packs = $10.68

This product contains 12 booster packs.

03

$10.68 + $26.01 promos = $36.69

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$36.69 × 0.64 = $23.48

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $36.69 ÷ $464.06 = 7.9%Cash-out: $23.48 ÷ $464.06 = 5.1%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $0.89 EV per pack for this 12-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/12pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)7$3.0012.80%$0.38$4.5642.7%
Holo Rare(H)17$0.7935.00%$0.28$3.3631.5%
Secret Rare(SR)1$57.520.40%$0.23$2.7625.8%
Total$0.89$10.68100%

Promo Cards

Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.

$26.01 total promo EV

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Celebrations, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 541 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/celebrations-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/forums/threads/all-%E2%80%98celebrations%E2%80%99-cards-promos-products-revealed.152588/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($464.06) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($464.06) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($26.01) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Celebrations ETB$321.08$34.91−89%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations PC ETB$464.06$36.69−92%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations Collection$105.18$5.56−95%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations Mini Tin$42.33$1.78−96%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection$954.51$35.13−96%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations Premium Figure Collection$201.58$12.12−94%KEEP SEALED
Celebrations Booster Pack$24.46$0.89−96%KEEP SEALED
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