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Celebrations

Don't rip Celebrations right now.

−89%

$321.08 sealed → $34.91 EV  |  EV/pack: $0.89

Even the best product loses −$286.17 on average.

If you must open something: Celebrations ETB loses the least at −$286.17.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Best product to check

Celebrations ETB

MSRP $49.99 • Market price $321.08 • Return −89%

Check sealed price on TCGPlayer →
Secret Rare: 1 in 250Ultra Rare: 1 in 8Holo Rare: 1 in 3See full pull rates →
Looking for a better rip? Vivid Voltage leads at −20%

Set EV History

Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.

EV Trend

EV per pack and best product return over time.

Best Sealed Products

Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.

All 7 Products

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Chase Cards

What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.

Deep Dives

Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.

The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
Open the dedicated pull rates page →
Ultra Rare(UR)$0.38/pack
Cards7
Avg Value$3.00
Pull Rate12.80%
Range$0.63$5.97
Holo Rare(H)$0.28/pack
Cards17
Avg Value$0.79
Pull Rate35.00%
Range$0.21$5.59
Secret Rare(SR)$0.23/pack
Cards1
Avg Value$57.52
Pull Rate0.40%
Range$57.52$57.52
Total EV / Pack$0.89
Medium Confidence541 packs sampled
Holo Rare(H)35.00%
Odds: 1 in 3
Sample: 541
Ultra Rare(UR)12.80%
Odds: 1 in 8
Sample: 541
Secret Rare(SR)0.40%
Odds: 1 in 250
Sample: 541

Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/celebrations-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/forums/threads/all-%E2%80%98celebrations%E2%80%99-cards-promos-products-revealed.152588/

Frequently Asked Questions
Is Celebrations worth opening?
At current market prices, Celebrations ETB loses $286.17 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
What is the EV of a Celebrations booster pack?
The expected value of a single Celebrations booster pack is $0.89 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
What is the MSRP for Celebrations products?
Celebrations ETB launched at $49.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $321.08 to see how far Celebrations pricing has moved from retail.
What are the best cards to pull in Celebrations?
The most valuable cards in Celebrations are Mew (Secret) ($57.52), Pikachu ($5.59), Flying Pikachu VMAX ($5.97).
How often do you pull a chase card in Celebrations?
Pull rates are based on 541 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
What is the best Celebrations product to buy?
Based on current EV calculations, Celebrations ETB offers the best return at −89% (−$286.17). It contains 10 packs and is priced at $321.08.
How often are Celebrations prices updated?
All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
What is cash-out EV for Celebrations?
Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Celebrations ETB, cash-out EV is $22.34 versus $34.91 market EV.
How do pull rates work for Celebrations?
Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 541 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.

As of March 2026, Celebrations products lose an average of $283.73 (−94%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 541+ pack openings.

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