Rip or Flip
Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$31.85

MSRP

$13.99

Spread: +$17.86 (128%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDTwilight Masquerade3 packs+ $0.50 promos

Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $24.81.

3 packs plus $0.50 in promo value produce $7.04 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−78%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $31.85.

Expected Loss

−$24.81

The average opening result after paying $31.85 sealed.

Open Average

$7.04

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$4.51

Expected range $0.68-$3.68 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · High confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $2.18

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.

02

$2.18 × 3 packs = $6.54

This product contains 3 booster packs.

03

$6.54 + $0.50 promos = $7.04

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$7.04 × 0.64 = $4.51

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $7.04 ÷ $31.85 = 22.1%Cash-out: $4.51 ÷ $31.85 = 14.2%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.18 EV per pack for this 3-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/3pk% of Total
Illustration Rare(IR)21$11.417.70%$0.88$2.6440.4%
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)11$56.701.20%$0.68$2.0431.2%
Ultra Rare(UR)21$3.406.60%$0.22$0.6610.1%
ACE SPEC Rare(ACE)6$3.615.10%$0.18$0.548.3%
Double Rare(RR)14$1.0116.90%$0.17$0.517.8%
Hyper Rare(HR)6$7.080.68%$0.05$0.152.3%
Total$2.18$6.54100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Twilight-Masquerade-Pull-Rates, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/twilight-masquerade-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $13.99. Current sealed price ($31.85) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($31.85) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($0.50) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box$331.23$78.48−76%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade ETB$79.35$20.95−74%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade PC ETB$148.82$46.99−68%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Booster Bundle$53.46$13.08−76%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister$31.85$7.04−78%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister$10.99$2.43−78%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Build & Battle Box$47.07$10.81−77%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster$8.10$2.18−73%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Art Bundle$32.18$8.72−73%KEEP SEALED
Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack$7.84$2.18−72%KEEP SEALED
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