Twilight Masquerade
Don't rip Twilight Masquerade right now.
−69%
$151.46 sealed → $47.02 EV | EV/pack: $2.19
Even the best product loses −$104.44 on average.
If you must open something: Twilight Masquerade PC ETB loses the least at −$104.44.
Best product to check
Twilight Masquerade PC ETB
MSRP $49.99 • Market price $151.46 • Return −69%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 10 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Greninja ex - 214/167
#214/167
SIR$277.61
EV: $0.30
Eevee - 188/167
#188/167
IR$69.94
EV: $0.26
Chansey - 187/167
#187/167
IR$34.73
EV: $0.13
View 7 more chase cards
Perrin - 220/167
#220/167
SIR$113.93
EV: $0.12
Unfair Stamp
#165/167
ACE$10.06
EV: $0.09
Secret Box
#163/167
ACE$9.97
EV: $0.08
Hisuian Growlithe - 181/167
#181/167
IR$21.16
EV: $0.08
Tatsugiri - 186/167
#186/167
IR$19.13
EV: $0.07
Carmine - 217/167
#217/167
SIR$58.91
EV: $0.06
Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex - 216/167
#216/167
SIR$38.76
EV: $0.04
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 21 | $11.48 | $2.97–$69.94 | 7.70% | $0.88 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $56.94 | $10.70–$277.61 | 1.20% | $0.68 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 21 | $3.40 | $0.80–$11.16 | 6.60% | $0.22 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $3.70 | $0.29–$10.06 | 5.10% | $0.19 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $1.00 | $0.53–$2.37 | 16.90% | $0.17 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $7.04 | $2.38–$11.63 | 0.68% | $0.05 |
| Total EV / Pack | $2.19 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 16.90% | 1 in 6 | 8,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 8,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.60% | 1 in 15 | 8,000 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 5.10% | 1 in 20 | 8,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.20% | 1 in 83 | 8,000 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 0.68% | 1 in 147 | 8,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Twilight-Masquerade-Pull-Rates, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/twilight-masquerade-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Twilight Masquerade worth opening?
- At current market prices, Twilight Masquerade PC ETB loses $104.44 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Twilight Masquerade booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Twilight Masquerade booster pack is $2.19 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Twilight Masquerade products?
- Twilight Masquerade PC ETB launched at $49.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $151.46 to see how far Twilight Masquerade pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Twilight Masquerade?
- The most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade are Greninja ex - 214/167 ($277.61), Eevee - 188/167 ($69.94), Chansey - 187/167 ($34.73).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Twilight Masquerade?
- Pull rates are based on 8,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Twilight Masquerade product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Twilight Masquerade PC ETB offers the best return at −69% (−$104.44). It contains 11 packs and is priced at $151.46.
- How often are Twilight Masquerade prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Twilight Masquerade?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Twilight Masquerade PC ETB, cash-out EV is $30.09 versus $47.02 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Twilight Masquerade?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 8,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Twilight Masquerade products lose an average of $56.44 (−75%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 8,000+ pack openings.