Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $25.28.
4 packs plus $2.14 in promo value produce $10.18 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−71%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $35.46.
Expected Loss
−$25.28
The average opening result after paying $35.46 sealed.
Open Average
$10.18
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$6.52
Expected range $0.52-$3.50 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.01
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.01 × 4 packs = $8.04
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$8.04 + $2.14 promos = $10.18
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$10.18 × 0.64 = $6.52
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $10.18 ÷ $35.46 = 28.7% • Cash-out: $6.52 ÷ $35.46 = 18.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.01 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $16.79 | 7.70% | $1.29 | $5.16 | 64.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $18.36 | 1.90% | $0.35 | $1.40 | 17.4% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $2.75 | 6.70% | $0.18 | $0.72 | 9.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.90 | 14.30% | $0.13 | $0.52 | 6.5% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.16 | 1.20% | $0.06 | $0.24 | 3.0% |
| Total | $2.01 | $8.04 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$107.73
+$0.96 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$43.12
+$0.40 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$41.59
+$0.36 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$51.35
+$0.28 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$40.97
+$0.20 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$32.46
+$0.16 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.43
+$0.08 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$10.35
+$0.08 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$13.07
+$0.08 EV
Gholdengo ex - 139/182
#139/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$1.38
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($35.46) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($35.46) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.14) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $275.64 | $72.36 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $117.19 | $23.68 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $176.90 | $67.19 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $70.27 | $12.06 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.34 | $6.53 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.86 | $2.26 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $35.46 | $10.18 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $9.05 | $2.01 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $33.49 | $8.04 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.73 | $2.01 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.68 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.58 | $15.86 | −33% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $24.57 | $15.86 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.56 | $21.25 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.77 | $20.49 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $57.18 | $27.65 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $32.14 | $15.03 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $33.66 | $15.65 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |