Paradox Rift ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $84.20.
9 packs plus $4.84 in promo value produce $20.32 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−81%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $104.52.
Expected Loss
−$84.20
The average opening result after paying $104.52 sealed.
Open Average
$20.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$13.00
Expected range $0.58-$2.86 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.72
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$1.72 × 9 packs = $15.48
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$15.48 + $4.84 promos = $20.32
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$20.32 × 0.64 = $13.00
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $20.32 ÷ $104.52 = 19.4% • Cash-out: $13.00 ÷ $104.52 = 12.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.72 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $13.60 | 7.70% | $1.05 | $9.45 | 61.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $16.44 | 1.90% | $0.31 | $2.79 | 18.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $2.72 | 6.70% | $0.18 | $1.62 | 10.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.84 | 14.30% | $0.12 | $1.08 | 7.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.05 | 1.20% | $0.06 | $0.54 | 3.5% |
| Total | $1.72 | $15.48 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$80.02
+$1.62 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$38.41
+$0.81 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$34.70
+$0.72 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$43.74
+$0.54 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$35.31
+$0.36 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$27.57
+$0.27 EV
Gholdengo ex - 139/182
#139/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.76
+$0.18 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$10.22
+$0.18 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$12.38
+$0.18 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$1.84
+$0.09 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($104.52) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($104.52) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($4.84) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $267.99 | $61.92 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $104.52 | $20.32 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $169.22 | $61.65 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $65.06 | $10.32 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.79 | $5.66 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.77 | $1.97 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $34.30 | $8.84 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $7.81 | $1.72 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $31.18 | $6.88 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $7.46 | $1.72 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |