Paradox Rift Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $203.28.
36 packs produce $72.36 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−74%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $275.64.
Expected Loss
−$203.28
The average opening result after paying $275.64 sealed.
Open Average
$72.36
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$46.31
Expected range $0.52-$3.50 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.01
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.01 × 36 packs = $72.36
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$72.36 = $72.36
No promo value applied for this product.
$72.36 × 0.64 = $46.31
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $72.36 ÷ $275.64 = 26.3% • Cash-out: $46.31 ÷ $275.64 = 16.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.01 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 34 | $16.79 | 7.70% | $1.29 | $46.44 | 64.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $18.36 | 1.90% | $0.35 | $12.60 | 17.4% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 28 | $2.75 | 6.70% | $0.18 | $6.48 | 9.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 20 | $0.90 | 14.30% | $0.13 | $4.68 | 6.5% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 7 | $5.16 | 1.20% | $0.06 | $2.16 | 3.0% |
| Total | $2.01 | $72.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paradox Rift, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Groudon - 199/182
#199/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$107.73
+$8.64 EV
Minun - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$43.12
+$3.60 EV
Plusle - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 442 packs
$41.59
+$3.24 EV
Altaria ex - 253/182
#253/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$51.35
+$2.52 EV
Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
#251/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$40.97
+$1.80 EV
Garchomp ex - 245/182
#245/182 · SIR
1 in 789 packs
$32.46
+$1.44 EV
Mewtwo ex
#058/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$2.43
+$0.72 EV
Maushold ex - 233/182
#233/182 · UR
1 in 418 packs
$10.35
+$0.72 EV
Garchomp ex - 260/182
#260/182 · HR
1 in 583 packs
$13.07
+$0.72 EV
Gholdengo ex - 139/182
#139/182 · RR
1 in 140 packs
$1.38
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($275.64) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($275.64) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | $275.64 | $72.36 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift ETB | $117.19 | $23.68 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift PC ETB | $176.90 | $67.19 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | $70.27 | $12.06 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister | $26.34 | $6.53 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister | $9.86 | $2.26 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | $35.46 | $10.18 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster | $9.05 | $2.01 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Art Bundle | $33.49 | $8.04 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Pack | $8.73 | $2.01 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $202.46 | $100.08 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $256.88 | $99.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $384.35 | $135.00 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $293.46 | $101.88 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $251.97 | $86.76 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $307.58 | $93.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $339.15 | $99.00 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |