Scarlet & Violet Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $194.89.
36 packs produce $70.56 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−73%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $265.45.
Expected Loss
−$194.89
The average opening result after paying $265.45 sealed.
Open Average
$70.56
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$45.16
Expected range $0.90-$3.02 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.96
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$1.96 × 36 packs = $70.56
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$70.56 = $70.56
No promo value applied for this product.
$70.56 × 0.64 = $45.16
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $70.56 ÷ $265.45 = 26.6% • Cash-out: $45.16 ÷ $265.45 = 17.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.96 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $13.22 | 7.70% | $1.02 | $36.72 | 52.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $16.79 | 3.10% | $0.52 | $18.72 | 26.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.12 | 6.70% | $0.21 | $7.56 | 10.7% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $5.84 | 1.90% | $0.11 | $3.96 | 5.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.68 | 14.30% | $0.10 | $3.60 | 5.1% |
| Total | $1.96 | $70.56 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$72.18
+$7.92 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$38.69
+$4.32 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$35.65
+$3.96 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · IR
1 in 312 packs
$34.43
+$3.96 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$22.69
+$2.52 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · SIR
1 in 323 packs
$19.61
+$2.16 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$10.02
+$1.08 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$8.17
+$1.08 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · HR
1 in 316 packs
$8.31
+$1.08 EV
Miriam - 238/198
#238/198 · UR
1 in 299 packs
$5.78
+$0.72 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($265.45) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($265.45) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | $265.45 | $70.56 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet ETB | $104.43 | $23.30 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | $298.23 | $137.05 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle | $77.24 | $11.76 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister | $25.41 | $6.38 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister | $9.37 | $2.21 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box | $36.86 | $11.16 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster | $43.53 | $1.96 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack | $7.91 | $1.96 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |