Rip or Flip
Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$9.37

MSRP

$5.49

Spread: +$3.88 (71%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDScarlet & Violet1 pack+ $0.25 promos

Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $7.16.

1 packs plus $0.25 in promo value produce $2.21 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−76%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.37.

Expected Loss

−$7.16

The average opening result after paying $9.37 sealed.

Open Average

$2.21

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$1.41

Expected range $0.90-$3.02 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · High confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $1.96

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.

02

$1.96 × 1 packs = $1.96

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$1.96 + $0.25 promos = $2.21

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$2.21 × 0.64 = $1.41

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $2.21 ÷ $9.37 = 23.6%Cash-out: $1.41 ÷ $9.37 = 15.1%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.96 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Illustration Rare(IR)24$13.227.70%$1.02$1.0252.0%
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)10$16.793.10%$0.52$0.5226.5%
Ultra Rare(UR)20$3.126.70%$0.21$0.2110.7%
Hyper Rare(HR)6$5.841.90%$0.11$0.115.6%
Double Rare(RR)12$0.6814.30%$0.10$0.105.1%
Total$1.96$1.96100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $5.49. Current sealed price ($9.37) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($9.37) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($0.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Scarlet & Violet Booster Box$265.45$70.56−73%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet ETB$104.43$23.30−78%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet PC ETB$298.23$137.05−54%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle$77.24$11.76−85%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister$25.41$6.38−75%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet Single Pack Blister$9.37$2.21−76%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet Build & Battle Box$36.86$11.16−70%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster$43.53$1.96−96%KEEP SEALED
Scarlet & Violet Booster Pack$7.91$1.96−75%KEEP SEALED
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