Fusion Strike Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $55.77.
4 packs plus $7.86 in promo value produce $20.18 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−73%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $75.95.
Expected Loss
−$55.77
The average opening result after paying $75.95 sealed.
Open Average
$20.18
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$12.92
Expected range $0.00-$8.24 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.08
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.08 × 4 packs = $12.32
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$12.32 + $7.86 promos = $20.18
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$20.18 × 0.64 = $12.92
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $20.18 ÷ $75.95 = 26.6% • Cash-out: $12.92 ÷ $75.95 = 17.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.08 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $69.61 | 2.40% | $1.67 | $6.68 | 54.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 47 | $7.29 | 18.50% | $1.35 | $5.40 | 43.8% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 13 | $0.25 | 22.00% | $0.06 | $0.24 | 1.9% |
| Total | $3.08 | $12.32 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Fusion Strike, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gengar VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#271/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$750.82
+$3.60 EV
Mew V (Alternate Full Art)
#251/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$90.38
+$1.44 EV
Espeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#270/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$290.84
+$1.40 EV
Celebi V (Alternate Full Art)
#245/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$63.75
+$1.00 EV
Mew VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#269/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$183.94
+$0.88 EV
Gengar VMAX
#157/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$43.23
+$0.68 EV
Swampert
#064/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.38
+$0.04 EV
Deoxys
#120/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.32
+$0.04 EV
Dragapult
#130/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.32
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2021/11/14/fusion-strike-pull-rates-might-be-the-worst-weve-seen/, https://www.digitaltq.com/fusion-strike-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($75.95) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($75.95) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($7.86) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fusion Strike Booster Box | $999.04 | $110.88 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike ETB | $273.56 | $25.64 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike PC ETB | $382.92 | $32.80 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike 3 Pack Blister | $61.80 | $9.74 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Build & Battle Box | $75.95 | $20.18 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Sleeved Booster | $102.76 | $3.08 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Booster Pack | $14.50 | $3.08 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |