Fusion Strike Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $865.94.
36 packs produce $124.56 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−87%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $990.50.
Expected Loss
−$865.94
The average opening result after paying $990.50 sealed.
Open Average
$124.56
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$79.72
Expected range $0.00-$9.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.46
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.46 × 36 packs = $124.56
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$124.56 = $124.56
No promo value applied for this product.
$124.56 × 0.64 = $79.72
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $124.56 ÷ $990.50 = 12.6% • Cash-out: $79.72 ÷ $990.50 = 8.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.46 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $76.24 | 2.40% | $1.83 | $65.88 | 52.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 47 | $8.48 | 18.50% | $1.57 | $56.52 | 45.4% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 13 | $0.26 | 22.00% | $0.06 | $2.16 | 1.7% |
| Total | $3.46 | $124.56 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Fusion Strike, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gengar VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#271/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$856.22
+$37.08 EV
Mew V (Alternate Full Art)
#251/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$106.81
+$15.12 EV
Espeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#270/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$284.65
+$12.24 EV
Celebi V (Alternate Full Art)
#245/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$76.83
+$10.80 EV
Mew VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#269/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$194.62
+$8.28 EV
Gengar VMAX
#157/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$47.46
+$6.84 EV
Dragapult
#130/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.42
+$0.36 EV
Swampert
#064/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.41
+$0.36 EV
Deoxys
#120/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.37
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2021/11/14/fusion-strike-pull-rates-might-be-the-worst-weve-seen/, https://www.digitaltq.com/fusion-strike-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($990.50) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($990.50) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fusion Strike Booster Box | $990.50 | $124.56 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike ETB | $314.96 | $28.68 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike PC ETB | $424.10 | $36.60 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike 3 Pack Blister | $62.94 | $10.88 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Build & Battle Box | $76.90 | $23.07 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Sleeved Booster | $105.16 | $3.46 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Booster Pack | $15.45 | $3.46 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $202.46 | $100.08 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $256.88 | $99.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $384.35 | $135.00 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $293.46 | $101.88 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $251.97 | $86.76 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $307.58 | $93.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $339.15 | $99.00 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |