Fusion Strike ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $286.28.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $28.68 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−91%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $314.96.
Expected Loss
−$286.28
The average opening result after paying $314.96 sealed.
Open Average
$28.68
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$18.36
Expected range $0.00-$9.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.46
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.46 × 8 packs = $27.68
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$27.68 + $1.00 promos = $28.68
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$28.68 × 0.64 = $18.36
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $28.68 ÷ $314.96 = 9.1% • Cash-out: $18.36 ÷ $314.96 = 5.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.46 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $76.24 | 2.40% | $1.83 | $14.64 | 52.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 47 | $8.48 | 18.50% | $1.57 | $12.56 | 45.4% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 13 | $0.26 | 22.00% | $0.06 | $0.48 | 1.7% |
| Total | $3.46 | $27.68 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Fusion Strike, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gengar VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#271/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$856.22
+$8.24 EV
Mew V (Alternate Full Art)
#251/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$106.81
+$3.36 EV
Espeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#270/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$284.65
+$2.72 EV
Celebi V (Alternate Full Art)
#245/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$76.83
+$2.40 EV
Mew VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#269/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$194.62
+$1.84 EV
Gengar VMAX
#157/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$47.46
+$1.52 EV
Dragapult
#130/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.42
+$0.08 EV
Swampert
#064/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.41
+$0.08 EV
Deoxys
#120/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.37
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2021/11/14/fusion-strike-pull-rates-might-be-the-worst-weve-seen/, https://www.digitaltq.com/fusion-strike-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($314.96) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($314.96) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fusion Strike Booster Box | $990.50 | $124.56 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike ETB | $314.96 | $28.68 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike PC ETB | $424.10 | $36.60 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike 3 Pack Blister | $62.94 | $10.88 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Build & Battle Box | $76.90 | $23.07 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Sleeved Booster | $105.16 | $3.46 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Booster Pack | $15.45 | $3.46 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $646.61 | $328.97 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $295.19 | $147.27 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $155.98 | $76.40 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $227.58 | $110.65 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $161.60 | $67.87 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $86.45 | $36.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $147.71 | $61.50 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $480.58 | $189.48 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |