Crown Zenith Tin
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $138.06.
5 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $11.50 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−92%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $149.56.
Expected Loss
−$138.06
The average opening result after paying $149.56 sealed.
Open Average
$11.50
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$7.36
Expected range $0.94-$3.26 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.10
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 615 pack openings.
$2.10 × 5 packs = $10.50
This product contains 5 booster packs.
$10.50 + $1.00 promos = $11.50
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$11.50 × 0.64 = $7.36
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $11.50 ÷ $149.56 = 7.7% • Cash-out: $7.36 ÷ $149.56 = 4.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.10 EV per pack for this 5-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/5pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 43 | $3.35 | 34.47% | $1.16 | $5.80 | 55.2% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 1 | $51.49 | 0.98% | $0.50 | $2.50 | 23.8% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $4.56 | 5.04% | $0.23 | $1.15 | 11.0% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.51 | 40.16% | $0.21 | $1.05 | 10.0% |
| Total | $2.10 | $10.50 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Crown Zenith, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Pikachu (Secret)
#160/159 · SR
1 in 102 packs
$51.49
+$2.50 EV
Radiant Charizard
#020/159 · RR
1 in 60 packs
$12.51
+$1.05 EV
Elesa's Sparkle (Full Art)
#147/159 · UR
1 in 125 packs
$15.04
+$0.60 EV
Charizard VSTAR
#019/159 · UR
1 in 125 packs
$10.42
+$0.40 EV
Charizard V
#018/159 · UR
1 in 125 packs
$9.02
+$0.35 EV
Mewtwo
#059/159 · H
1 in 50 packs
$2.75
+$0.30 EV
Ditto
#107/159 · H
1 in 50 packs
$1.17
+$0.10 EV
Calyrex
#017/159 · H
1 in 50 packs
$0.66
+$0.05 EV
Radiant Eternatus
#105/159 · RR
1 in 60 packs
$0.71
+$0.05 EV
Radiant Charjabug
#051/159 · RR
1 in 60 packs
$0.46
+$0.05 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 615 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/crown-zenith-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.99. Current sealed price ($149.56) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($149.56) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crown Zenith ETB | $319.87 | $33.02 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith PC ETB Plus | $522.05 | $37.22 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Booster Bundle | $181.31 | $12.60 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Collection | $103.51 | $9.40 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Tin | $149.56 | $11.50 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Mini Tin | $37.19 | $4.20 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Pin Collection | $85.17 | $6.80 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Premium Figure Collection | $321.93 | $26.10 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Crown Zenith Booster Pack | $23.78 | $2.10 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Tins Across Sets
See how this tin stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Tin | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | Ascended Heroes | $23.12 | $14.86 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | Black Bolt | $19.57 | $9.52 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | Pokemon 151 | $45.41 | $20.18 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin | Shrouded Fable | $19.97 | $7.70 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (Y) | Multi-Set Products | $37.02 | $12.78 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Charizard Tin (X) | Multi-Set Products | $37.69 | $12.78 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Tin | Paldean Fates | $99.18 | $29.20 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldean Fates Mini Tin | Paldean Fates | $38.79 | $11.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |