Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $9.82.
1 packs plus $0.25 in promo value produce $4.05 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−71%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $13.87.
Expected Loss
−$9.82
The average opening result after paying $13.87 sealed.
Open Average
$4.05
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.59
Expected range $0.00-$8.63 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.80
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.80 × 1 packs = $3.80
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.80 + $0.25 promos = $4.05
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$4.05 × 0.64 = $2.59
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $4.05 ÷ $13.87 = 29.2% • Cash-out: $2.59 ÷ $13.87 = 18.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.80 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 36 | $33.38 | 7.70% | $2.57 | $2.57 | 67.6% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $23.24 | 3.10% | $0.72 | $0.72 | 18.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 26 | $3.76 | 6.70% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 6.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $1.07 | 14.30% | $0.15 | $0.15 | 3.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 9 | $5.98 | 1.80% | $0.11 | $0.11 | 2.9% |
| Total | $3.80 | $3.80 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldea Evolved, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Magikarp - 203/193
#203/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$374.87
+$0.80 EV
Raichu - 211/193
#211/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$107.86
+$0.23 EV
Maushold - 226/193
#226/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$83.69
+$0.18 EV
Iono - 269/193
#269/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$55.72
+$0.12 EV
Tinkaton ex - 262/193
#262/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$52.23
+$0.11 EV
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193
#259/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$47.15
+$0.10 EV
Pikachu ex
#063/193 · RR
1 in 119 packs
$4.64
+$0.04 EV
Dedenne ex - 239/193
#239/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$16.09
+$0.04 EV
Boss's Orders - 248/193
#248/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$12.72
+$0.03 EV
Iono - 254/193
#254/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$10.83
+$0.03 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldea-Evolved-Pull-Rates/1b7d3e70-9542-4a50-8692-1661e2316521/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/11/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $5.49. Current sealed price ($13.87) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($13.87) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($0.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved ETB | $184.68 | $52.84 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | $534.38 | $196.97 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle | $104.59 | $22.80 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved 3 Pack Blister | $33.46 | $11.90 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister | $13.87 | $4.05 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Build & Battle Box | $54.88 | $18.11 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster | $14.00 | $3.80 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Pack | $11.98 | $3.80 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.38 | $7.43 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $10.16 | $4.76 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $9.51 | $4.37 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.33 | $2.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $8.94 | $3.85 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.73 | $2.78 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $21.42 | $8.84 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | Phantasmal Flames | $9.19 | $3.75 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |