Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $81.79.
6 packs produce $22.80 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−78%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $104.59.
Expected Loss
−$81.79
The average opening result after paying $104.59 sealed.
Open Average
$22.80
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.59
Expected range $0.00-$8.63 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.80
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.80 × 6 packs = $22.80
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$22.80 = $22.80
No promo value applied for this product.
$22.80 × 0.64 = $14.59
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $22.80 ÷ $104.59 = 21.8% • Cash-out: $14.59 ÷ $104.59 = 13.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.80 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 36 | $33.38 | 7.70% | $2.57 | $15.42 | 67.6% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $23.24 | 3.10% | $0.72 | $4.32 | 18.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 26 | $3.76 | 6.70% | $0.25 | $1.50 | 6.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $1.07 | 14.30% | $0.15 | $0.90 | 3.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 9 | $5.98 | 1.80% | $0.11 | $0.66 | 2.9% |
| Total | $3.80 | $22.80 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldea Evolved, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Magikarp - 203/193
#203/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$374.87
+$4.80 EV
Raichu - 211/193
#211/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$107.86
+$1.38 EV
Maushold - 226/193
#226/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$83.69
+$1.08 EV
Iono - 269/193
#269/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$55.72
+$0.72 EV
Tinkaton ex - 262/193
#262/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$52.23
+$0.66 EV
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193
#259/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$47.15
+$0.60 EV
Pikachu ex
#063/193 · RR
1 in 119 packs
$4.64
+$0.24 EV
Dedenne ex - 239/193
#239/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$16.09
+$0.24 EV
Boss's Orders - 248/193
#248/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$12.72
+$0.18 EV
Iono - 254/193
#254/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$10.83
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldea-Evolved-Pull-Rates/1b7d3e70-9542-4a50-8692-1661e2316521/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/11/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($104.59) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($104.59) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved ETB | $184.68 | $52.84 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | $534.38 | $196.97 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle | $104.59 | $22.80 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved 3 Pack Blister | $33.46 | $11.90 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister | $13.87 | $4.05 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Build & Battle Box | $54.88 | $18.11 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster | $14.00 | $3.80 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Pack | $11.98 | $3.80 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Bundles Across Sets
See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Bundle | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | Shrouded Fable | $48.48 | $23.10 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | White Flare | $56.22 | $26.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | Black Bolt | $61.99 | $28.56 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Bundle | Perfect Order | $37.83 | $16.68 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Art Bundle | Temporal Forces | $29.40 | $11.32 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Art Bundle | Prismatic Evolutions | $40.08 | $14.44 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Art Bundle | Phantasmal Flames | $43.67 | $15.00 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle | Phantasmal Flames | $66.32 | $22.50 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |