Rip or Flip
Astral Radiance 3 Pack Blister

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$32.81

MSRP

$13.99

Spread: +$18.82 (135%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDAstral Radiance3 packs+ $0.50 promos

Astral Radiance 3 Pack Blister

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $25.05.

3 packs plus $0.50 in promo value produce $7.76 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−76%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $32.81.

Expected Loss

−$25.05

The average opening result after paying $32.81 sealed.

Open Average

$7.76

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$4.97

Expected range $0.00-$8.16 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $2.42

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 615 pack openings.

02

$2.42 × 3 packs = $7.26

This product contains 3 booster packs.

03

$7.26 + $0.50 promos = $7.76

Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.

04

$7.76 × 0.64 = $4.97

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $7.76 ÷ $32.81 = 23.6%Cash-out: $4.97 ÷ $32.81 = 15.2%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.42 EV per pack for this 3-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/3pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)58$8.8823.90%$2.12$6.3687.6%
Secret Rare(SR)27$6.422.44%$0.16$0.486.6%
Holo Rare(H)20$0.3225.53%$0.08$0.243.3%
Radiant Rare(RR)3$1.244.88%$0.06$0.182.5%
Total$2.42$7.26100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Astral Radiance, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 615 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/astral-radiance-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/05/15/astral-radiance-pull-rates-are-surprisingly-good-in-new-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $13.99. Current sealed price ($32.81) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($32.81) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($0.50) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Astral Radiance Booster Box$388.63$87.12−78%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance ETB$104.46$20.36−81%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance PC ETB$156.66$26.20−83%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance 3 Pack Blister$32.81$7.76−76%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box$36.33$17.28−52%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Sleeved Booster$9.59$2.42−75%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Booster Pack$8.92$2.42−73%KEEP SEALED
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