Origins Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $64.58.
24 packs produce $232.56 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−22%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $297.14.
Expected Loss
−$64.58
The average opening result after paying $297.14 sealed.
Open Average
$232.56
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$148.84
Expected range $2.36-$17.02 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $9.69
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$9.69 × 24 packs = $232.56
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$232.56 = $232.56
No promo value applied for this product.
$232.56 × 0.64 = $148.84
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $232.56 ÷ $297.14 = 78.3% • Cash-out: $148.84 ÷ $297.14 = 50.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $9.69 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic(E) | 42 | $19.04 | 15.14% | $2.88 | $69.12 | 29.7% |
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.59 | 175.00% | $2.77 | $66.48 | 28.6% |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $115.91 | 1.39% | $1.61 | $38.64 | 16.6% |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $1040.95 | 0.14% | $1.45 | $34.80 | 15.0% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $11.76 | 8.33% | $0.98 | $23.52 | 10.1% |
| Total | $9.69 | $232.56 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Origins, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$29.38
+$14.64 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$78.89
+$6.72 EV
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$2331.96
+$6.48 EV
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$74.80
+$6.48 EV
Time Warp
#122/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$72.89
+$6.24 EV
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Overnumbered)
#299/298 · OVN
1 in 863 packs
$216.66
+$6.00 EV
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298 · OVN
1 in 863 packs
$214.79
+$6.00 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298 · AA
1 in 360 packs
$87.50
+$5.76 EV
Zhonya's Hourglass
#077/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$11.75
+$5.76 EV
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Signature)
#303*/298 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1946.02
+$5.52 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $119.99. Current sealed price ($297.14) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($297.14) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Origins Booster Box | $297.14 | $232.56 | −22% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Jinx) | $28.51 | $13.69 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Viktor) | $59.00 | $19.69 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin) | $39.46 | $12.69 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Booster Pack | $13.99 | $9.69 | −31% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Sleeved Booster Pack | $13.84 | $9.69 | −30% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Riftbound sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spiritforged Booster Box | Spiritforged | $148.61 | $93.12 | −37% | KEEP SEALED |