Origins
Don't rip Origins right now.
−15%
$284.18 sealed → $241.68 EV | EV/pack: $10.07
Even the best product loses −$42.50 on average.
If you must open something: Origins Booster Box loses the least at −$42.50.
⚠ Some data may be incomplete: Sum of pull rates is 2.0000 (exceeds 1.0) — rates may be overcounted; Rare: pull rate 1.75 is outside [0, 1]
Best product to check
Origins Booster Box
MSRP $119.99 • Market price $284.18 • Return −15%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 6 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298
R$27.41
EV: $0.57
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298
E$89.57
EV: $0.32
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298
E$87.61
EV: $0.32
View 7 more chase cards
Zhonya's Hourglass
#077/298
R$14.87
EV: $0.31
Time Warp
#122/298
E$80.67
EV: $0.29
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298
AA$101.69
EV: $0.28
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298
OVN$234.01
EV: $0.27
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298
SIG$2327.96
EV: $0.27
Sabotage
#156/298
R$12.06
EV: $0.25
Seal of Discord
#204/298
E$67.89
EV: $0.24
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic(E) | 42 | $20.75 | $1.53–$89.57 | 15.14% | $3.14 |
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.71 | $0.11–$27.41 | 175.00% | $3.00 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $111.23 | $59.41–$234.01 | 1.39% | $1.55 |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $996.51 | $593.13–$2327.96 | 0.14% | $1.39 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $11.91 | $2.52–$101.69 | 8.33% | $0.99 |
| Total EV / Pack | $10.07 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 175.00% | 1 in 1 | 500 |
| Epic(E) | 15.14% | 1 in 7 | 500 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 500 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 1.39% | 1 in 72 | 500 |
| Signature(SIG) | 0.14% | 1 in 719 | 500 |
Sources: https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Origins worth opening?
- At current market prices, Origins Booster Box loses $42.50 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Origins booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Origins booster pack is $10.07 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Origins products?
- Origins Booster Box launched at $119.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $284.18 to see how far Origins pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Origins?
- The most valuable cards in Origins are Thousand-Tailed Watcher ($27.41), Kai'Sa - Survivor ($89.57), Dazzling Aurora ($87.61).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Origins?
- Pull rates are based on 500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Origins product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Origins Booster Box offers the best return at −15% (−$42.50). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $284.18.
- How often are Origins prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Origins?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Origins Booster Box, cash-out EV is $154.68 versus $241.68 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Origins?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 500 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Origins products lose an average of $21.46 (−40%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 500+ pack openings.