Origins
Don't rip Origins right now.
−22%
$297.14 sealed → $232.56 EV | EV/pack: $9.69
Even the best product loses −$64.58 on average.
If you must open something: Origins Booster Box loses the least at −$64.58.
⚠ Some data may be incomplete: Sum of pull rates is 2.0000 (exceeds 1.0) — rates may be overcounted; Rare: pull rate 1.75 is outside [0, 1]
Best product to check
Origins Booster Box
MSRP $119.99 • Market price $297.14 • Return −22%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 6 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298
R$29.38
EV: $0.61
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298
E$78.89
EV: $0.28
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298
SIG$2331.96
EV: $0.27
View 7 more chase cards
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298
E$74.80
EV: $0.27
Time Warp
#122/298
E$72.89
EV: $0.26
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Overnumbered)
#299/298
OVN$216.66
EV: $0.25
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298
OVN$214.79
EV: $0.25
Zhonya's Hourglass
#077/298
R$11.75
EV: $0.24
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298
AA$87.50
EV: $0.24
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Signature)
#303*/298
SIG$1946.02
EV: $0.23
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic(E) | 42 | $19.04 | $1.47–$78.89 | 15.14% | $2.88 |
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.59 | $0.16–$29.38 | 175.00% | $2.77 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $115.91 | $54.50–$216.66 | 1.39% | $1.61 |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $1040.95 | $624.35–$2331.96 | 0.14% | $1.45 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $11.76 | $1.72–$87.50 | 8.33% | $0.98 |
| Total EV / Pack | $9.69 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 175.00% | 1 in 1 | 500 |
| Epic(E) | 15.14% | 1 in 7 | 500 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 500 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 1.39% | 1 in 72 | 500 |
| Signature(SIG) | 0.14% | 1 in 719 | 500 |
Sources: https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Origins worth opening?
- At current market prices, Origins Booster Box loses $64.58 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Origins booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Origins booster pack is $9.69 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Origins products?
- Origins Booster Box launched at $119.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $297.14 to see how far Origins pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Origins?
- The most valuable cards in Origins are Thousand-Tailed Watcher ($29.38), Kai'Sa - Survivor ($78.89), Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature) ($2331.96).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Origins?
- Pull rates are based on 500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Origins product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Origins Booster Box offers the best return at −22% (−$64.58). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $297.14.
- How often are Origins prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Origins?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Origins Booster Box, cash-out EV is $148.84 versus $232.56 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Origins?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 500 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of April 2026, Origins products lose an average of $25.66 (−45%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 500+ pack openings.