Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $18.28.
1 packs plus $4.00 in promo value produce $14.04 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−57%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $32.32.
Expected Loss
−$18.28
The average opening result after paying $32.32 sealed.
Open Average
$14.04
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$8.99
Expected range $2.04-$18.04 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.04
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$10.04 × 1 packs = $10.04
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$10.04 + $4.00 promos = $14.04
Promo value uses static estimate.
$14.04 × 0.64 = $8.99
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $14.04 ÷ $32.32 = 43.4% • Cash-out: $8.99 ÷ $32.32 = 27.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.04 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic(E) | 42 | $20.72 | 15.14% | $3.14 | $3.14 | 31.3% |
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.73 | 175.00% | $3.02 | $3.02 | 30.1% |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $111.53 | 1.39% | $1.55 | $1.55 | 15.4% |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $967.25 | 0.14% | $1.34 | $1.34 | 13.3% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $11.91 | 8.33% | $0.99 | $0.99 | 9.9% |
| Total | $10.04 | $10.04 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Origins, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$28.00
+$0.58 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$89.55
+$0.32 EV
Zhonya's Hourglass
#077/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$14.78
+$0.31 EV
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$83.82
+$0.30 EV
Time Warp
#122/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$79.93
+$0.29 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298 · AA
1 in 360 packs
$101.97
+$0.28 EV
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298 · OVN
1 in 863 packs
$233.40
+$0.27 EV
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$2261.96
+$0.26 EV
Sabotage
#156/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$12.00
+$0.25 EV
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Overnumbered)
#299/298 · OVN
1 in 863 packs
$201.84
+$0.23 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $19.99. Current sealed price ($32.32) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($32.32) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($4.00) is based on static estimate.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Origins Booster Box | $287.38 | $240.96 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Jinx) | $32.32 | $14.04 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Viktor) | $63.07 | $20.04 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin) | $32.66 | $13.04 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Booster Pack | $13.22 | $10.04 | −24% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Sleeved Booster Pack | $12.03 | $10.04 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |