Rip or Flip
Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$32.32

MSRP

$19.99

Spread: +$12.33 (62%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDOrigins1 pack+ $4.00 promos

Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $18.28.

1 packs plus $4.00 in promo value produce $14.04 of average market value.

Return vs Market

−57%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $32.32.

Expected Loss

−$18.28

The average opening result after paying $32.32 sealed.

Open Average

$14.04

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$8.99

Expected range $2.04-$18.04 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $10.04

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.

02

$10.04 × 1 packs = $10.04

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$10.04 + $4.00 promos = $14.04

Promo value uses static estimate.

04

$14.04 × 0.64 = $8.99

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $14.04 ÷ $32.32 = 43.4%Cash-out: $8.99 ÷ $32.32 = 27.8%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.04 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Epic(E)42$20.7215.14%$3.14$3.1431.3%
Rare(R)84$1.73175.00%$3.02$3.0230.1%
Overnumbered(OVN)12$111.531.39%$1.55$1.5515.4%
Signature(SIG)12$967.250.14%$1.34$1.3413.3%
Alternate Art(AA)30$11.918.33%$0.99$0.999.9%
Total$10.04$10.04100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Origins, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $19.99. Current sealed price ($32.32) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($32.32) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($4.00) is based on static estimate.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Origins Booster Box$287.38$240.96−16%KEEP SEALED
Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)$32.32$14.04−57%KEEP SEALED
Origins Champion Deck (Viktor)$63.07$20.04−68%KEEP SEALED
Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin)$32.66$13.04−60%KEEP SEALED
Origins Booster Pack$13.22$10.04−24%KEEP SEALED
Origins Sleeved Booster Pack$12.03$10.04−17%KEEP SEALED
← Back to all Origins products