Spiritforged Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $55.49.
24 packs produce $93.12 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−37%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $148.61.
Expected Loss
−$55.49
The average opening result after paying $148.61 sealed.
Open Average
$93.12
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$59.60
Expected range $2.30-$5.46 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.88
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$3.88 × 24 packs = $93.12
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$93.12 = $93.12
No promo value applied for this product.
$93.12 × 0.64 = $59.60
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $93.12 ÷ $148.61 = 62.7% • Cash-out: $59.60 ÷ $148.61 = 40.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.88 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $829.45 | 0.14% | $1.15 | $27.60 | 29.6% |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 30 | $82.25 | 1.39% | $1.14 | $27.36 | 29.4% |
| Epic(E) | 38 | $4.73 | 15.14% | $0.72 | $17.28 | 18.6% |
| Rare(R) | 60 | $0.28 | 175.00% | $0.49 | $11.76 | 12.6% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $4.51 | 8.33% | $0.38 | $9.12 | 9.8% |
| Total | $3.88 | $93.12 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Spiritforged, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Ahri - Inquisitive (Signature)
#227*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$2740.35
+$7.68 EV
Irelia - Fervent (Signature)
#225*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1648.00
+$4.56 EV
Ahri - Inquisitive (Overnumbered)
#227/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$336.22
+$3.84 EV
Vayne - Hunter (Signature)
#223*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1108.74
+$3.12 EV
Irelia - Fervent (Overnumbered)
#225/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$169.07
+$1.92 EV
Arise!
#198/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$20.03
+$1.92 EV
Ezreal - Prodigy (Alternate Art)
#149a/221 · AA
1 in 360 packs
$23.42
+$1.68 EV
Svellsongur
#059/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$17.99
+$1.68 EV
Irelia - Blade Dancer (Overnumbered)
#246/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$121.00
+$1.44 EV
Ezreal - Prodigy
#149/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$16.21
+$1.44 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/spiritforged-preview-season/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $119.99. Current sealed price ($148.61) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($148.61) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spiritforged Booster Box | $148.61 | $93.12 | −37% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Champion Deck (Rumble) | $23.78 | $6.88 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Champion Deck (Fiora) | $30.76 | $6.88 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Booster Pack | $6.47 | $3.88 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Sleeved Booster Pack | $7.71 | $3.88 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Riftbound sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Origins Booster Box | Origins | $297.14 | $232.56 | −22% | KEEP SEALED |