Spiritforged Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $43.50.
24 packs produce $120.72 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−26%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $164.22.
Expected Loss
−$43.50
The average opening result after paying $164.22 sealed.
Open Average
$120.72
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$77.26
Expected range $2.88-$7.18 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $5.03
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$5.03 × 24 packs = $120.72
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$120.72 = $120.72
No promo value applied for this product.
$120.72 × 0.64 = $77.26
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $120.72 ÷ $164.22 = 73.5% • Cash-out: $77.26 ÷ $164.22 = 47.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $5.03 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 30 | $103.76 | 1.39% | $1.44 | $34.56 | 28.6% |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $935.14 | 0.14% | $1.30 | $31.20 | 25.8% |
| Epic(E) | 38 | $7.67 | 15.14% | $1.16 | $27.84 | 23.1% |
| Rare(R) | 60 | $0.34 | 175.00% | $0.60 | $14.40 | 11.9% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $6.38 | 8.33% | $0.53 | $12.72 | 10.5% |
| Total | $5.03 | $120.72 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Spiritforged, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Ahri - Inquisitive (Signature)
#227*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$2731.73
+$7.68 EV
Ahri - Inquisitive (Overnumbered)
#227/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$404.93
+$4.56 EV
Irelia - Fervent (Signature)
#225*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1656.02
+$4.56 EV
Defiant Dance
#196/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$37.00
+$3.60 EV
Vayne - Hunter (Signature)
#223*/221 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1225.53
+$3.36 EV
Ezreal - Prodigy
#149/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$36.38
+$3.36 EV
Ezreal - Prodigy (Alternate Art)
#149a/221 · AA
1 in 360 packs
$42.34
+$2.88 EV
Irelia - Fervent (Overnumbered)
#225/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$236.04
+$2.64 EV
Last Rites
#150/221 · E
1 in 251 packs
$27.05
+$2.64 EV
Irelia - Blade Dancer (Overnumbered)
#246/221 · OVN
1 in 2158 packs
$192.66
+$2.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/spiritforged-preview-season/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $119.99. Current sealed price ($164.22) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($164.22) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spiritforged Booster Box | $164.22 | $120.72 | −26% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Champion Deck (Rumble) | $21.30 | $8.03 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Champion Deck (Fiora) | $26.31 | $8.03 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Booster Pack | $7.39 | $5.03 | −32% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Sleeved Booster Pack | $9.29 | $5.03 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |