Surging Sparks
Don't rip Surging Sparks right now.
−69%
$231.25 sealed → $70.78 EV | EV/pack: $1.74
Even the best product loses −$160.47 on average.
If you must open something: Surging Sparks PC ETB loses the least at −$160.47.
Best product to check
Surging Sparks PC ETB
MSRP $49.99 • Market price $231.25 • Return −69%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 10 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Pikachu ex - 238/191
#238/191
SIR$254.74
EV: $0.27
Latias ex - 239/191
#239/191
SIR$171.96
EV: $0.18
Milotic ex - 237/191
#237/191
SIR$94.32
EV: $0.10
View 7 more chase cards
Latios - 203/191
#203/191
IR$25.08
EV: $0.08
Pikachu ex - 219/191
#219/191
UR$21.75
EV: $0.07
Pikachu ex - 247/191
#247/191
HR$62.89
EV: $0.06
Ceruledge - 197/191
#197/191
IR$16.48
EV: $0.06
Hydreigon ex - 240/191
#240/191
SIR$37.90
EV: $0.04
Pikachu ex - 057/191
#057/191
RR$4.14
EV: $0.04
Mesprit - 204/191
#204/191
IR$9.52
EV: $0.03
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $62.89 | $7.54–$254.74 | 1.15% | $0.72 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 23 | $6.13 | $1.53–$25.08 | 7.70% | $0.47 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 21 | $3.10 | $0.95–$21.75 | 6.70% | $0.21 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 18 | $1.13 | $0.52–$4.14 | 16.70% | $0.19 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $17.44 | $3.70–$62.89 | 0.53% | $0.09 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 8 | $1.19 | $0.36–$3.75 | 5.00% | $0.06 |
| Total EV / Pack | $1.74 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 16.70% | 1 in 6 | 8,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 8,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.70% | 1 in 15 | 8,000 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 5.00% | 1 in 20 | 8,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.15% | 1 in 87 | 8,000 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 0.53% | 1 in 189 | 8,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Surging-Sparks-Pull-Rates, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-surging-sparks-booster-box
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Surging Sparks worth opening?
- At current market prices, Surging Sparks PC ETB loses $160.47 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Surging Sparks booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Surging Sparks booster pack is $1.74 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Surging Sparks products?
- Surging Sparks PC ETB launched at $49.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $231.25 to see how far Surging Sparks pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Surging Sparks?
- The most valuable cards in Surging Sparks are Pikachu ex - 238/191 ($254.74), Latias ex - 239/191 ($171.96), Milotic ex - 237/191 ($94.32).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Surging Sparks?
- Pull rates are based on 8,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Surging Sparks product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Surging Sparks PC ETB offers the best return at −69% (−$160.47). It contains 11 packs and is priced at $231.25.
- How often are Surging Sparks prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Surging Sparks?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Surging Sparks PC ETB, cash-out EV is $45.30 versus $70.78 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Surging Sparks?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 8,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Surging Sparks products lose an average of $58.80 (−78%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 8,000+ pack openings.