Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $8.61.
1 packs plus $0.25 in promo value produce $2.40 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−78%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $11.01.
Expected Loss
−$8.61
The average opening result after paying $11.01 sealed.
Open Average
$2.40
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.54
Expected range $0.00-$4.62 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.15
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.15 × 1 packs = $2.15
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$2.15 + $0.25 promos = $2.40
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$2.40 × 0.64 = $1.54
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $2.40 ÷ $11.01 = 21.8% • Cash-out: $1.54 ÷ $11.01 = 14.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.15 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $18.98 | 7.80% | $1.48 | $1.48 | 68.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $22.77 | 1.10% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 11.6% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 11 | $2.85 | 6.80% | $0.19 | $0.19 | 8.8% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $0.89 | 16.90% | $0.15 | $0.15 | 7.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $8.60 | 0.73% | $0.06 | $0.06 | 2.8% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.39 | 5.00% | $0.02 | $0.02 | 0.9% |
| Total | $2.15 | $2.15 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Stellar Crown, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Squirtle
#148/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$102.33
+$0.61 EV
Bulbasaur
#143/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$82.03
+$0.49 EV
Milcery - 152/142
#152/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$10.86
+$0.07 EV
Dachsbun ex - 169/142
#169/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$37.79
+$0.07 EV
Crispin - 164/142
#164/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$10.38
+$0.06 EV
Terapagos ex - 170/142
#170/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$32.35
+$0.06 EV
Hydrapple ex - 167/142
#167/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$20.86
+$0.04 EV
Blastoise ex
#030/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$2.22
+$0.03 EV
Lapras ex - 158/142
#158/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$5.17
+$0.03 EV
Lapras ex - 032/142
#032/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$1.38
+$0.02 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Stellar-Crown-Pull-Rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $5.49. Current sealed price ($11.01) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($11.01) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($0.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | $295.18 | $77.40 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown ETB | $97.09 | $23.22 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | $131.48 | $56.83 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Bundle | $50.10 | $12.90 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blister | $27.03 | $6.95 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister | $11.01 | $2.40 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box | $39.99 | $13.65 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster | $624.13 | $2.15 | −100% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Art Bundle | $34.29 | $8.60 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Pack | $7.98 | $2.15 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |