Stellar Crown ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $74.57.
9 packs plus $3.71 in promo value produce $22.52 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−77%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $97.09.
Expected Loss
−$74.57
The average opening result after paying $97.09 sealed.
Open Average
$22.52
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.41
Expected range $0.00-$4.47 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.09
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.09 × 9 packs = $18.81
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$18.81 + $3.71 promos = $22.52
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$22.52 × 0.64 = $14.41
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $22.52 ÷ $97.09 = 23.2% • Cash-out: $14.41 ÷ $97.09 = 14.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.09 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $18.52 | 7.80% | $1.44 | $12.96 | 68.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $22.65 | 1.10% | $0.25 | $2.25 | 12.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 11 | $2.67 | 6.80% | $0.18 | $1.62 | 8.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $0.83 | 16.90% | $0.14 | $1.26 | 6.7% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $8.58 | 0.73% | $0.06 | $0.54 | 2.9% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.36 | 5.00% | $0.02 | $0.18 | 1.0% |
| Total | $2.09 | $18.81 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Stellar Crown, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Squirtle
#148/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$98.64
+$5.31 EV
Bulbasaur
#143/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$79.22
+$4.32 EV
Milcery - 152/142
#152/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$10.94
+$0.63 EV
Dachsbun ex - 169/142
#169/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$37.79
+$0.63 EV
Crispin - 164/142
#164/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$9.64
+$0.54 EV
Terapagos ex - 170/142
#170/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$31.97
+$0.54 EV
Hydrapple ex - 167/142
#167/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$21.07
+$0.36 EV
Lapras ex - 158/142
#158/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$4.38
+$0.27 EV
Blastoise ex
#030/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$1.83
+$0.18 EV
Cinderace ex - 157/142
#157/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$3.04
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Stellar-Crown-Pull-Rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($97.09) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($97.09) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($3.71) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | $293.90 | $75.24 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown ETB | $97.09 | $22.52 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | $131.48 | $56.01 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Bundle | $50.02 | $12.54 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blister | $27.03 | $6.77 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister | $11.01 | $2.34 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box | $39.99 | $13.41 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster | $624.11 | $2.09 | −100% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Art Bundle | $34.29 | $8.36 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Pack | $8.03 | $2.09 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |