Obsidian Flames Booster Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $64.90.
6 packs produce $16.62 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−80%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $81.52.
Expected Loss
−$64.90
The average opening result after paying $81.52 sealed.
Open Average
$16.62
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$10.64
Expected range $1.11-$4.43 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.77
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.77 × 6 packs = $16.62
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$16.62 = $16.62
No promo value applied for this product.
$16.62 × 0.64 = $10.64
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $16.62 ÷ $81.52 = 20.4% • Cash-out: $10.64 ÷ $81.52 = 13.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.77 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 12 | $16.40 | 7.70% | $1.26 | $7.56 | 45.5% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $24.52 | 3.10% | $0.76 | $4.56 | 27.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $16.62 | 1.90% | $0.32 | $1.92 | 11.6% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $3.52 | 6.70% | $0.24 | $1.44 | 8.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 21 | $1.33 | 14.30% | $0.19 | $1.14 | 6.9% |
| Total | $2.77 | $16.62 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 223/197
#223/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$111.30
+$3.48 EV
Ninetales -199/197
#199/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$43.06
+$1.68 EV
Cleffa - 202/197
#202/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$41.67
+$1.62 EV
Charizard ex - 228/197
#228/197 · HR
1 in 158 packs
$42.53
+$1.62 EV
Gloom - 198/197
#198/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$24.92
+$0.96 EV
Charizard ex - 215/197
#215/197 · UR
1 in 179 packs
$20.86
+$0.72 EV
Pidgeot ex - 225/197
#225/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$18.23
+$0.54 EV
Charizard ex - 125/197
#125/197 · RR
1 in 147 packs
$5.63
+$0.24 EV
Tyranitar ex - 211/197
#211/197 · UR
1 in 179 packs
$6.18
+$0.18 EV
Revavroom ex - 224/197
#224/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$5.99
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Obsidian-Flames-Pull-Rates/e2a66999-a7b5-4621-9765-c9a132e04bd2/, https://www.digitaltq.com/obsidian-flames-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/sv3/obsidian-flames/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($81.52) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($81.52) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames Booster Box | $369.43 | $99.72 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames ETB | $253.63 | $95.42 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | $646.61 | $328.97 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Bundle | $81.52 | $16.62 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames 3 Pack Blister | $30.70 | $8.81 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Single Pack Blister | $10.27 | $3.02 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Build & Battle Box | $46.03 | $16.42 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Sleeved Booster | $12.38 | $2.77 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Pack | $10.79 | $2.77 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Bundles Across Sets
See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Bundle | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | Shrouded Fable | $48.48 | $23.10 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | White Flare | $56.22 | $26.22 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | Black Bolt | $61.99 | $28.56 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Bundle | Perfect Order | $37.83 | $16.68 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Art Bundle | Temporal Forces | $29.40 | $11.32 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Art Bundle | Prismatic Evolutions | $40.08 | $14.44 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Art Bundle | Phantasmal Flames | $43.67 | $15.00 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle | Phantasmal Flames | $66.32 | $22.50 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |