Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $27.01.
4 packs plus $7.55 in promo value produce $18.19 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−60%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $45.20.
Expected Loss
−$27.01
The average opening result after paying $45.20 sealed.
Open Average
$18.19
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.64
Expected range $0.96-$4.36 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.66
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.66 × 4 packs = $10.64
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$10.64 + $7.55 promos = $18.19
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$18.19 × 0.64 = $11.64
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $18.19 ÷ $45.20 = 40.2% • Cash-out: $11.64 ÷ $45.20 = 25.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.66 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $111.19 | 1.06% | $1.18 | $4.72 | 44.4% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 23 | $10.55 | 8.30% | $0.88 | $3.52 | 33.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $4.65 | 6.25% | $0.29 | $1.16 | 10.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $25.19 | 0.67% | $0.17 | $0.68 | 6.4% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $0.70 | 20.00% | $0.14 | $0.56 | 5.3% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.00 | 5.00% | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Total | $2.66 | $10.64 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Destined Rivals, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182
#231/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$473.50
+$1.84 EV
Misty's Psyduck - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$57.25
+$0.84 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182
#232/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$197.87
+$0.76 EV
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 230/182
#230/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$151.92
+$0.60 EV
Misty's Lapras - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$28.01
+$0.40 EV
Ethan's Typhlosion - 190/182
#190/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$23.90
+$0.36 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 240/182
#240/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$55.38
+$0.24 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 213/182
#213/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$18.52
+$0.20 EV
Team Rocket's Petrel - 226/182
#226/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$11.09
+$0.12 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 241/182
#241/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$30.76
+$0.12 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Destined-Rivals-Pull-Rates/43ba832e-44c9-45a4-ae2e-594df2defdda/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-destined-rivals-expansion-pull-rates/, https://clickandcollectables.com.au/blogs/news/destined-rivals-pull-rates-chase-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($45.20) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($45.20) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($7.55) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destined Rivals Booster Box | $522.14 | $95.76 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals ETB | $192.76 | $30.36 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals PC ETB | $422.24 | $110.02 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Bundle | $53.56 | $15.96 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister | $38.17 | $8.48 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister | $10.81 | $2.91 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box | $45.20 | $18.19 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster | $9.29 | $2.66 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Art Bundle | $36.47 | $10.64 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Pack | $8.29 | $2.66 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |