Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $27.29.
4 packs plus $8.53 in promo value produce $20.45 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−57%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $47.74.
Expected Loss
−$27.29
The average opening result after paying $47.74 sealed.
Open Average
$20.45
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$13.09
Expected range $1.03-$4.93 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.98
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.98 × 4 packs = $11.92
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$11.92 + $8.53 promos = $20.45
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$20.45 × 0.64 = $13.09
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $20.45 ÷ $47.74 = 42.8% • Cash-out: $13.09 ÷ $47.74 = 27.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.98 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $122.12 | 1.06% | $1.29 | $5.16 | 43.3% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 23 | $12.70 | 8.30% | $1.05 | $4.20 | 35.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $5.16 | 6.25% | $0.32 | $1.28 | 10.7% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $25.93 | 0.67% | $0.17 | $0.68 | 5.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $0.76 | 20.00% | $0.15 | $0.60 | 5.0% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.00 | 5.00% | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Total | $2.98 | $11.92 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Destined Rivals, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182
#231/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$531.52
+$2.04 EV
Misty's Psyduck - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$63.88
+$0.92 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182
#232/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$228.46
+$0.88 EV
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 230/182
#230/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$168.15
+$0.64 EV
Misty's Lapras - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$35.49
+$0.52 EV
Team Rocket's Meowth - 203/182
#203/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$30.96
+$0.44 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 213/182
#213/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$22.56
+$0.24 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 240/182
#240/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$57.97
+$0.24 EV
Team Rocket's Petrel - 226/182
#226/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$13.47
+$0.16 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 241/182
#241/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$32.48
+$0.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Destined-Rivals-Pull-Rates/43ba832e-44c9-45a4-ae2e-594df2defdda/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-destined-rivals-expansion-pull-rates/, https://clickandcollectables.com.au/blogs/news/destined-rivals-pull-rates-chase-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($47.74) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($47.74) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($8.53) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destined Rivals Booster Box | $577.95 | $107.28 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals ETB | $221.90 | $36.62 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals PC ETB | $526.39 | $140.08 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Bundle | $66.92 | $17.88 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister | $39.96 | $9.44 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister | $11.60 | $3.23 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box | $47.74 | $20.45 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster | $9.31 | $2.98 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Art Bundle | $39.11 | $11.92 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Pack | $8.57 | $2.98 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.68 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.58 | $15.86 | −33% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $24.57 | $15.86 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.56 | $21.25 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.77 | $20.49 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $57.18 | $27.65 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $32.14 | $15.03 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $33.66 | $15.65 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |