Darkness Ablaze Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $285.85.
36 packs produce $37.08 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−89%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $322.93.
Expected Loss
−$285.85
The average opening result after paying $322.93 sealed.
Open Average
$37.08
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$23.73
Expected range $0.00-$2.57 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $1.03
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.03 × 36 packs = $37.08
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$37.08 = $37.08
No promo value applied for this product.
$37.08 × 0.64 = $23.73
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $37.08 ÷ $322.93 = 11.5% • Cash-out: $23.73 ÷ $322.93 = 7.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $1.03 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 34 | $3.74 | 19.50% | $0.73 | $26.28 | 70.9% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 12 | $7.37 | 2.40% | $0.18 | $6.48 | 17.5% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 18 | $0.54 | 22.00% | $0.12 | $4.32 | 11.7% |
| Total | $1.03 | $37.08 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Darkness Ablaze, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard VMAX
#020/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$47.91
+$9.72 EV
Charizard V
#019/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$7.86
+$1.80 EV
Houndoom V (Full Art)
#178/189 · UR
1 in 174 packs
$5.03
+$1.08 EV
Butterfree VMAX (Secret)
#190/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$16.37
+$1.08 EV
Salamence VMAX (Secret)
#194/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$14.60
+$1.08 EV
Arctozolt
#066/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$1.49
+$0.72 EV
Eternatus VMAX (Secret)
#192/189 · SR
1 in 500 packs
$11.57
+$0.72 EV
Suicune
#037/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$0.97
+$0.36 EV
Blaziken
#024/189 · H
1 in 82 packs
$0.83
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/swsh3/darkness-ablaze/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($322.93) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($322.93) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Box | $322.93 | $37.08 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze ETB | $107.12 | $9.24 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister | $38.08 | $3.59 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Build & Battle Box | $64.23 | $12.11 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster | $9.99 | $1.03 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
| Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack | $8.19 | $1.03 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $202.46 | $100.08 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $256.88 | $99.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $384.35 | $135.00 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $293.46 | $101.88 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $251.97 | $86.76 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $307.58 | $93.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $339.15 | $99.00 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |