Chilling Reign PC ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $137.16.
10 packs plus $2.00 in promo value produce $35.70 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−79%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $172.86.
Expected Loss
−$137.16
The average opening result after paying $172.86 sealed.
Open Average
$35.70
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$22.85
Expected range $0.00-$9.01 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.37
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.37 × 10 packs = $33.70
This product contains 10 booster packs.
$33.70 + $2.00 promos = $35.70
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$35.70 × 0.64 = $22.85
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $35.70 ÷ $172.86 = 20.6% • Cash-out: $22.85 ÷ $172.86 = 13.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.37 EV per pack for this 10-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/10pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $14.14 | 19.00% | $2.69 | $26.90 | 79.8% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $23.63 | 2.40% | $0.57 | $5.70 | 16.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.50 | 22.00% | $0.11 | $1.10 | 3.3% |
| Total | $3.37 | $33.70 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$188.39
+$5.80 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$76.94
+$2.40 EV
Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art)
#168/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$76.92
+$2.40 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$356.83
+$2.40 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$108.21
+$0.70 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$67.98
+$0.50 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$3.79
+$0.30 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.80
+$0.10 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.53
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($172.86) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($172.86) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $491.49 | $121.32 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $157.25 | $27.96 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $172.86 | $35.70 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.52 | $10.61 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.27 | $21.47 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.55 | $3.37 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $9.97 | $3.37 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $646.61 | $328.97 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $295.19 | $147.27 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $155.98 | $76.40 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $227.58 | $110.65 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $161.60 | $67.87 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $86.45 | $36.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $147.71 | $61.50 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $480.58 | $189.48 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |