Chilling Reign ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $127.14.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $26.12 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−83%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $153.26.
Expected Loss
−$127.14
The average opening result after paying $153.26 sealed.
Open Average
$26.12
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$16.72
Expected range $0.00-$8.52 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.14
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.14 × 8 packs = $25.12
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$25.12 + $1.00 promos = $26.12
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$26.12 × 0.64 = $16.72
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $26.12 ÷ $153.26 = 17.0% • Cash-out: $16.72 ÷ $153.26 = 10.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.14 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $13.18 | 19.00% | $2.50 | $20.00 | 79.6% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $22.85 | 2.40% | $0.55 | $4.40 | 17.5% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.41 | 22.00% | $0.09 | $0.72 | 2.9% |
| Total | $3.14 | $25.12 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$183.68
+$4.48 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$349.87
+$1.92 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$72.27
+$1.76 EV
Zeraora V (Alternate Full Art)
#166/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$62.19
+$1.52 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$102.91
+$0.56 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$69.62
+$0.40 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$2.52
+$0.16 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.81
+$0.08 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.57
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($153.26) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($153.26) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $495.21 | $113.04 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $153.26 | $26.12 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $166.70 | $33.40 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.55 | $9.92 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $50.94 | $20.65 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.24 | $3.14 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $9.22 | $3.14 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |