Chilling Reign Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $370.17.
36 packs produce $121.32 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−75%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $491.49.
Expected Loss
−$370.17
The average opening result after paying $491.49 sealed.
Open Average
$121.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$77.64
Expected range $0.00-$9.01 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.37
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.37 × 36 packs = $121.32
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$121.32 = $121.32
No promo value applied for this product.
$121.32 × 0.64 = $77.64
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $121.32 ÷ $491.49 = 24.7% • Cash-out: $77.64 ÷ $491.49 = 15.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.37 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 62 | $14.14 | 19.00% | $2.69 | $96.84 | 79.8% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 35 | $23.63 | 2.40% | $0.57 | $20.52 | 16.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 24 | $0.50 | 22.00% | $0.11 | $3.96 | 3.3% |
| Total | $3.37 | $121.32 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Chilling Reign, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$188.39
+$20.88 EV
Galarian Slowking V (Alternate Full Art)
#179/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$76.94
+$8.64 EV
Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art)
#168/198 · UR
1 in 326 packs
$76.92
+$8.64 EV
Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#201/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$356.83
+$8.64 EV
Snorlax (Secret)
#224/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$108.21
+$2.52 EV
Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/198 · SR
1 in 1458 packs
$67.98
+$1.80 EV
Gengar
#057/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$3.79
+$1.08 EV
Gardevoir
#061/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.80
+$0.36 EV
Porygon-Z
#118/198 · H
1 in 109 packs
$0.53
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/chilling-reign-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($491.49) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($491.49) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilling Reign Booster Box | $491.49 | $121.32 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign ETB | $157.25 | $27.96 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign PC ETB | $172.86 | $35.70 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister | $47.52 | $10.61 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Build & Battle Box | $51.27 | $21.47 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster | $90.55 | $3.37 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chilling Reign Booster Pack | $9.97 | $3.37 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $202.46 | $100.08 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $256.88 | $99.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $384.35 | $135.00 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $293.46 | $101.88 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $251.97 | $86.76 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $443.90 | $136.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $307.58 | $93.24 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | Twilight Masquerade | $339.15 | $99.00 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |