Evolving Skies ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $498.17.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $67.56 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $565.73.
Expected Loss
−$498.17
The average opening result after paying $565.73 sealed.
Open Average
$67.56
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$43.24
Expected range $0.00-$23.41 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $8.32
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$8.32 × 8 packs = $66.56
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$66.56 + $1.00 promos = $67.56
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$67.56 × 0.64 = $43.24
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $67.56 ÷ $565.73 = 11.9% • Cash-out: $43.24 ÷ $565.73 = 7.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $8.32 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $29.45 | 19.00% | $5.60 | $44.80 | 67.3% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $110.41 | 2.40% | $2.65 | $21.20 | 31.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.30 | 22.00% | $0.07 | $0.56 | 0.8% |
| Total | $8.32 | $66.56 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$1747.16
+$9.84 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$360.33
+$7.68 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$300.86
+$6.48 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$279.58
+$6.00 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$674.76
+$3.84 EV
Leafeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$322.24
+$1.84 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.44
+$0.00 EV
Galarian Moltres
#093/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.36
+$0.00 EV
Galarian Zapdos
#082/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.35
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($565.73) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($565.73) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2473.71 | $299.52 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $565.73 | $67.56 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1162.97 | $85.20 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $180.37 | $25.46 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $260.80 | $67.63 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $51.17 | $8.32 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $39.13 | $8.32 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |