Price Snapshot
Current Market
$2473.71
MSRP
$143.64
Spread: +$2330.07 (1622%) above MSRP
Buy on TCGPlayer →Evolving Skies Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $2174.19.
36 packs produce $299.52 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $2473.71.
Expected Loss
−$2174.19
The average opening result after paying $2473.71 sealed.
Open Average
$299.52
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$191.69
Expected range $0.00-$23.41 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $8.32
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$8.32 × 36 packs = $299.52
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$299.52 = $299.52
No promo value applied for this product.
$299.52 × 0.64 = $191.69
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $299.52 ÷ $2473.71 = 12.1% • Cash-out: $191.69 ÷ $2473.71 = 7.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $8.32 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $29.45 | 19.00% | $5.60 | $201.60 | 67.3% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $110.41 | 2.40% | $2.65 | $95.40 | 31.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.30 | 22.00% | $0.07 | $2.52 | 0.8% |
| Total | $8.32 | $299.52 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$1747.16
+$44.28 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$360.33
+$34.56 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$300.86
+$29.16 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$279.58
+$27.00 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$674.76
+$17.28 EV
Leafeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#205/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$322.24
+$8.28 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.44
+$0.00 EV
Galarian Moltres
#093/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.36
+$0.00 EV
Galarian Zapdos
#082/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.35
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($2473.71) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($2473.71) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2473.71 | $299.52 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $565.73 | $67.56 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1162.97 | $85.20 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $180.37 | $25.46 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $260.80 | $67.63 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $51.17 | $8.32 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $39.13 | $8.32 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |