Price Snapshot
Current Market
$3746.92
MSRP
$95.76
Spread: +$3651.16 (3813%) above MSRP
Buy on TCGPlayer →Romance Dawn Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $3313.96.
24 packs produce $432.96 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $3746.92.
Expected Loss
−$3313.96
The average opening result after paying $3746.92 sealed.
Open Average
$432.96
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$277.09
Expected range $1.32-$34.76 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $18.04
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$18.04 × 24 packs = $432.96
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$432.96 = $432.96
No promo value applied for this product.
$432.96 × 0.64 = $277.09
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $432.96 ÷ $3746.92 = 11.6% • Cash-out: $277.09 ÷ $3746.92 = 7.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $18.04 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $157.07 | 8.30% | $13.04 | $312.96 | 72.3% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $1945.99 | 0.17% | $3.31 | $79.44 | 18.3% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $2.26 | 33.30% | $0.75 | $18.00 | 4.2% |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.28 | 50.00% | $0.64 | $15.36 | 3.5% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $7.31 | 4.17% | $0.30 | $7.20 | 1.7% |
| Total | $18.04 | $432.96 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$1945.99
+$79.44 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$845.05
+$64.80 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$554.45
+$42.48 EV
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$463.64
+$35.52 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003 · L
1 in 16 packs
$4.95
+$7.44 EV
Roronoa Zoro (025)
#OP01-025 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$6.60
+$5.28 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001)
#OP01-001 · L
1 in 16 packs
$2.64
+$4.08 EV
Shanks
#OP01-120 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$7.50
+$3.84 EV
Yamato
#OP01-121 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$7.11
+$3.60 EV
Kaido (094)
#OP01-094 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$4.19
+$3.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($3746.92) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($3746.92) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romance Dawn Booster Box | $3746.92 | $432.96 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Booster Pack | $98.23 | $18.04 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Sleeved Booster Pack | $179.30 | $18.04 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |