Price Snapshot
Current Market
$3796.95
MSRP
$95.76
Spread: +$3701.19 (3865%) above MSRP
Buy on TCGPlayer →Romance Dawn Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $3377.43.
24 packs produce $419.52 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−89%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $3796.95.
Expected Loss
−$3377.43
The average opening result after paying $3796.95 sealed.
Open Average
$419.52
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$268.49
Expected range $0.45-$34.51 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $17.48
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$17.48 × 24 packs = $419.52
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$419.52 = $419.52
No promo value applied for this product.
$419.52 × 0.64 = $268.49
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $419.52 ÷ $3796.95 = 11.1% • Cash-out: $268.49 ÷ $3796.95 = 7.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $17.48 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $149.81 | 8.30% | $12.43 | $298.32 | 71.1% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2038.87 | 0.17% | $3.47 | $83.28 | 19.9% |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.77 | 50.00% | $0.88 | $21.12 | 5.0% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $1.45 | 33.30% | $0.48 | $11.52 | 2.7% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $5.30 | 4.17% | $0.22 | $5.28 | 1.3% |
| Total | $17.48 | $419.52 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$2038.87
+$83.28 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$854.17
+$65.52 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$558.38
+$42.72 EV
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$470.45
+$36.00 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003 · L
1 in 16 packs
$9.57
+$14.40 EV
Roronoa Zoro (025)
#OP01-025 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.63
+$2.88 EV
Yamato
#OP01-121 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$5.88
+$2.88 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001)
#OP01-001 · L
1 in 16 packs
$1.83
+$2.64 EV
Kaido (094)
#OP01-094 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.06
+$2.40 EV
Shanks
#OP01-120 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$4.72
+$2.40 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($3796.95) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($3796.95) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romance Dawn Booster Box | $3796.95 | $419.52 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Booster Pack | $75.97 | $17.48 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Sleeved Booster Pack | $178.37 | $17.48 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Azure Sea's Seven Booster Box | The Azure Sea's Seven | $228.58 | $259.20 | +13% | RIP IT |
| Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box | Adventure on Kami's Island | $223.67 | $247.68 | +11% | RIP IT |
| Carrying On His Will Booster Box | Carrying On His Will | $580.44 | $604.56 | +4% | HOLD |
| A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box | A Fist of Divine Speed | $398.38 | $325.92 | −18% | KEEP SEALED |
| Legacy of the Master Booster Box | Legacy of the Master | $251.10 | $199.20 | −21% | KEEP SEALED |
| Premium Booster Vol. 2 Booster Box | Premium Booster The Best Vol. 2 | $307.79 | $242.20 | −21% | KEEP SEALED |
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Box | 500 Years in the Future | $294.22 | $171.60 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Royal Blood Booster Box | Royal Blood | $221.06 | $120.72 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |