500 Years in the Future Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $122.62.
24 packs produce $171.60 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−42%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $294.22.
Expected Loss
−$122.62
The average opening result after paying $294.22 sealed.
Open Average
$171.60
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$109.82
Expected range $4.96-$9.34 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.15
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$7.15 × 24 packs = $171.60
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$171.60 = $171.60
No promo value applied for this product.
$171.60 × 0.64 = $109.82
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $171.60 ÷ $294.22 = 58.3% • Cash-out: $109.82 ÷ $294.22 = 37.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.15 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $1722.73 | 0.17% | $2.93 | $70.32 | 41.0% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 24 | $23.78 | 8.30% | $1.97 | $47.28 | 27.6% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $3.15 | 33.30% | $1.05 | $25.20 | 14.7% |
| Special Rare(SP) | 6 | $110.77 | 0.70% | $0.78 | $18.72 | 10.9% |
| TR(TR) | 1 | $74.39 | 0.35% | $0.26 | $6.24 | 3.6% |
| L(L) | 6 | $0.16 | 50.00% | $0.08 | $1.92 | 1.1% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $1.92 | 4.17% | $0.08 | $1.92 | 1.1% |
| Total | $7.15 | $171.60 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in 500 Years in the Future, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel) (Manga)
#OP07-051 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$1722.73
+$70.32 EV
O-Nami (SP)
#OP06-101 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$339.16
+$9.60 EV
Boa Hancock (051)
#OP07-051 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$11.76
+$9.36 EV
Boa Hancock (038) (Parallel)
#OP07-038 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$86.44
+$7.20 EV
Trafalgar Law (010) (TR)
#ST10-010 · TR
1 in 286 packs
$74.39
+$6.24 EV
Jewelry Bonney (019) (Parallel)
#OP07-019 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$70.08
+$5.76 EV
Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel)
#OP07-051 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$55.04
+$4.56 EV
Sanji
#OP07-064 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$5.06
+$4.08 EV
Donquixote Doflamingo (SP)
#OP01-073 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$115.78
+$3.36 EV
Porche
#OP07-072 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.69
+$2.88 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($294.22) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($294.22) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Box | $294.22 | $171.60 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Pack | $7.52 | $7.15 | −5% | HOLD |
| 500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack | $34.72 | $7.15 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Azure Sea's Seven Booster Box | The Azure Sea's Seven | $228.58 | $259.20 | +13% | RIP IT |
| Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box | Adventure on Kami's Island | $223.67 | $247.68 | +11% | RIP IT |
| Carrying On His Will Booster Box | Carrying On His Will | $580.44 | $604.56 | +4% | HOLD |
| A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box | A Fist of Divine Speed | $398.38 | $325.92 | −18% | KEEP SEALED |
| Legacy of the Master Booster Box | Legacy of the Master | $251.10 | $199.20 | −21% | KEEP SEALED |
| Premium Booster Vol. 2 Booster Box | Premium Booster The Best Vol. 2 | $307.79 | $242.20 | −21% | KEEP SEALED |
| Royal Blood Booster Box | Royal Blood | $221.06 | $120.72 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Wings of the Captain Booster Box | Wings of the Captain | $346.09 | $188.40 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |