500 Years in the Future Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $113.17.
24 packs produce $168.48 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−40%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $281.65.
Expected Loss
−$113.17
The average opening result after paying $281.65 sealed.
Open Average
$168.48
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$107.83
Expected range $4.91-$9.13 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$7.02 × 24 packs = $168.48
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$168.48 = $168.48
No promo value applied for this product.
$168.48 × 0.64 = $107.83
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $168.48 ÷ $281.65 = 59.8% • Cash-out: $107.83 ÷ $281.65 = 38.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.02 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $1675.54 | 0.17% | $2.85 | $68.40 | 40.6% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 24 | $25.21 | 8.30% | $2.09 | $50.16 | 29.8% |
| Special Rare(SP) | 6 | $123.88 | 0.70% | $0.87 | $20.88 | 12.4% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $2.31 | 33.30% | $0.77 | $18.48 | 11.0% |
| TR(TR) | 1 | $83.36 | 0.35% | $0.29 | $6.96 | 4.1% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $1.85 | 4.17% | $0.08 | $1.92 | 1.1% |
| L(L) | 6 | $0.14 | 50.00% | $0.07 | $1.68 | 1.0% |
| Total | $7.02 | $168.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in 500 Years in the Future, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel) (Manga)
#OP07-051 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$1675.54
+$68.40 EV
O-Nami (SP)
#OP06-101 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$357.79
+$10.08 EV
Boa Hancock (038) (Parallel)
#OP07-038 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$97.69
+$8.16 EV
Trafalgar Law (010) (TR)
#ST10-010 · TR
1 in 286 packs
$83.36
+$6.96 EV
Boa Hancock (051)
#OP07-051 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$8.54
+$6.72 EV
Jewelry Bonney (019) (Parallel)
#OP07-019 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$70.14
+$5.76 EV
Vegapunk (Parallel)
#OP07-097 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$49.12
+$4.08 EV
Donquixote Doflamingo (SP)
#OP01-073 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$116.29
+$3.36 EV
Eustass"Captain"Kid (SP)
#OP05-074 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$85.23
+$2.40 EV
Stussy
#OP07-085 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.05
+$2.40 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($281.65) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($281.65) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Box | $281.65 | $168.48 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Pack | $6.92 | $7.02 | +1% | HOLD |
| 500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack | $32.84 | $7.02 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |